Missouri Prevention Science Institute, University of Missouri, Columbia.
Department of Psychology, Michigan State University.
Psychol Methods. 2020 Dec;25(6):708-725. doi: 10.1037/met0000257. Epub 2020 Feb 27.
The analysis of reciprocal relations in categorical variables poses methodological challenges. Effects that go in opposite causal directions must be integrated into the same model, and parameters must be interpretable. In this article, we propose taking an event-based perspective and present a new approach to the analysis of reciprocal relations in manifest categorical variables. Instead of asking questions about associations of categorical variables, the event-based perspective asks whether the occurrence of one event (the cause) leads to the occurrence of another event (the effect), and vice versa. Event-based reciprocal log-linear models are described. The presented approach enables one to estimate separate unidirectional causal effects in the same log-linear model. The Schuster transformation is applied to obtain interpretable parameter estimates when design matrices are nonorthogonal. A simulation study illustrates the viability and power of the proposed approach. Data examples illustrate the applicability of the proposed method, and that analysis of reciprocal relation hypotheses without Schuster transformation can lead to incorrect conclusions. Extensions of the proposed models are discussed. (PsycInfo Database Record (c) 2020 APA, all rights reserved).
类别变量的交互关系分析存在方法学上的挑战。必须将具有相反因果方向的效应整合到同一个模型中,并且参数必须具有可解释性。本文提出了一种基于事件的视角,并提出了一种分析显式类别变量中交互关系的新方法。基于事件的视角不是询问类别变量之间的关联,而是询问一个事件(原因)的发生是否会导致另一个事件(效果)的发生,反之亦然。描述了基于事件的交互对数线性模型。所提出的方法可以在同一个对数线性模型中估计单独的单向因果效应。当设计矩阵不正交时,应用 Schuster 变换可以获得可解释的参数估计。一项模拟研究说明了所提出方法的可行性和功效。数据示例说明了所提出方法的适用性,并且没有 Schuster 变换的交互关系假设分析可能会导致错误的结论。还讨论了所提出模型的扩展。