Department of Economics and Center for Economic Behavior and Inequality, University of Copenhagen, Copenhagen, Denmark.
Department of Economics, University of Copenhagen, Copenhagen, Denmark.
PLoS One. 2020 Mar 2;15(3):e0229789. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0229789. eCollection 2020.
Legislative gridlock is a failure of one of the key functions of government: to pass legislation. Can voters counter such political dysfunction? This paper examines whether and how voters hold politicians accountable for gridlock. We focus on the passage of the government budget, the central task of any legislature, and define a legislature to experience budgetary gridlock if it fails to pass the budget on time. We argue, based on evidence from twenty years of budget enactment data, that voters hold state legislators accountable for budget gridlock in US state governments, with gridlocked incumbents losing their seat more often than incumbents passing budgets on time. Based on established theories of party organization in American politics, we develop three competing theoretical hypotheses to guide our understanding of the observed patterns of retrospective voting. We find strong support for collective electoral accountability with voters punishing incumbent members of state legislature majority parties.
通过立法。选民能否应对这种政治功能障碍?本文探讨了选民是否以及如何让政客对立法僵局负责。我们关注政府预算的通过,这是任何立法机构的核心任务,并将未能按时通过预算的立法机构定义为出现预算僵局。我们根据二十年来的预算制定数据提出证据,认为选民会让美国州政府的州立法者对预算僵局负责,与按时通过预算的现任议员相比,陷入僵局的现任议员更有可能失去席位。基于美国政治中政党组织的既定理论,我们提出了三个相互竞争的理论假设来指导我们对观察到的回溯投票模式的理解。我们发现选民对州立法机构多数党派的现任成员进行集体选举问责制的支持非常强烈。