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多元多场合个体内变化的假设检验方法。

Hypothesis Testing Methods for Multivariate Multi-Occasion Intra-Individual Change.

机构信息

University of Washington.

University of Minnesota.

出版信息

Multivariate Behav Res. 2021 May-Jun;56(3):459-475. doi: 10.1080/00273171.2020.1730739. Epub 2020 Mar 3.

DOI:10.1080/00273171.2020.1730739
PMID:32124648
Abstract

In psychological and educational measurement, it is often of interest to assess change in an individual. The current study expanded on previous research by introducing methods that can evaluate individual change on multiple latent traits measured on multiple occasions. The four methods considered are the likelihood ratio test (LRT), the multivariate Wald test (MWT), the modified multivariate Wald test (MMWT), and the score test (ST). Simulation studies were conducted to examine the true positive rate (TPR) and the false positive rate (FPR) of the new methods under a conventional fixed-form test and a computerized adaptive test (CAT). Manipulated variables included the number of occasions, change magnitudes, patterns of change, and correlations between latent traits. Results revealed that, in terms of FPR, all methods except MWT had close adherence to the nominal significance level. Among the three methods, the LRT is recommended as it provided a balance between FPR and TPR. Larger change magnitude yielded higher TPR, regardless of the remaining factors. With the same test length, a CAT yielded higher TPR than a conventional test. Real-data examples are provided of identifying psychometrically significant change across two to four occasions using a multivariate adaptive self-report medical outcomes measure from hospitalized patients. The detection of significant change among the three methods agreed highly, and those patients identified as having significant change exhibited large profile differences, which provided support for the valid performance of the proposed methods.

摘要

在心理和教育测量中,评估个体的变化通常是很有意义的。本研究通过引入可以评估个体在多次测量的多个潜在特征上的变化的方法,扩展了之前的研究。考虑的四种方法是似然比检验(LRT)、多元 Wald 检验(MWT)、修正多元 Wald 检验(MMWT)和评分检验(ST)。模拟研究考察了新方法在常规固定形式测试和计算机自适应测试(CAT)下的真阳性率(TPR)和假阳性率(FPR)。操纵变量包括次数、变化幅度、变化模式和潜在特征之间的相关性。结果表明,就 FPR 而言,除 MWT 外,所有方法都接近名义显著水平。在这三种方法中,推荐使用 LRT,因为它在 FPR 和 TPR 之间取得了平衡。无论其余因素如何,较大的变化幅度会产生更高的 TPR。在相同的测试长度下,CAT 比传统测试产生更高的 TPR。使用来自住院患者的多维自适应自我报告医疗结果测量工具,提供了在两到四个时间点上识别心理测量学上显著变化的真实数据示例。这三种方法在检测显著变化方面高度一致,那些被确定为有显著变化的患者表现出很大的特征差异,这为所提出方法的有效性能提供了支持。

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