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在温带气候条件下,使用光伏和电动汽车实现能源自给自足的家庭是可行的。

Energy self-sufficient households with photovoltaics and electric vehicles are feasible in temperate climate.

机构信息

Climate Policy Group, Institute for Environmental Decisions, ETH Zürich, Switzerland.

出版信息

PLoS One. 2020 Mar 4;15(3):e0227368. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0227368. eCollection 2020.

Abstract

The idea that households produce and consume their own energy, that is, energy self-sufficiency at a very local level, captures the popular imagination and commands political support across parts of Europe. This paper investigates the technical and economic feasibility of household energy self-sufficiency in Switzerland, which can be seen as representative for other regions with a temperate climate, by 2050. We compare sixteen cases that vary across four dimensions: household type, building type, electricity demand reduction, and passenger vehicle use patterns. We assume that photovoltaic (PV) electricity supplies all energy, which implies a complete shift away from fossil fuel based heating and internal combustion engine vehicles. Two energy storage technologies are considered: short-term storage in lithium-ion batteries and long-term storage with hydrogen, requiring an electrolyzer, storage tank, and a fuel cell for electricity conversion. We examine technological feasibility and total system costs for self-sufficient households compared to base cases that rely on fossil fuels and the existing power grid. PV efficiency and available rooftop/facade area are most critical with respect to the overall energy balance. Single-family dwellings with profound electricity demand reduction and urban mobility patterns achieve self-sufficiency most easily. Multi-family buildings with conventional electricity demand and rural mobility patterns can only be self-sufficient if PV efficiency increases, and all of the roof plus most of the facade can be covered with PV. All self-sufficient cases are technically feasible but more expensive than fully electrified grid-connected cases. Self-sufficiency may even become cost-competitive in some cases depending on storage and fossil fuel prices. Thus, if political measures improve their financial attractiveness or individuals decide to shoulder the necessary investments, self-sufficient buildings may start to become increasingly prevalent.

摘要

家庭生产和消费自己的能源,即在非常局部的水平上实现能源自给自足,这一想法引起了人们的想象,并在欧洲部分地区赢得了政治支持。本文通过比较 16 种情景案例,探讨了瑞士家庭在 2050 年实现能源自给自足的技术和经济可行性,瑞士可以被视为其他温带气候地区的代表。这 16 种情景案例在四个维度上有所不同:家庭类型、建筑类型、减少电力需求和乘用车使用模式。我们假设光伏(PV)电力供应所有能源,这意味着要完全摆脱基于化石燃料的供暖和内燃机车辆。我们考虑了两种储能技术:锂离子电池的短期存储和需要电解槽、储氢罐和燃料电池进行电力转换的氢的长期存储。我们研究了与依赖化石燃料和现有电网的基础案例相比,自给自足家庭的技术可行性和总成本。就整体能源平衡而言,PV 效率和可用屋顶/外墙面积是最关键的。具有深刻电力需求减少和城市交通模式的单户住宅最容易实现自给自足。具有传统电力需求和农村交通模式的多户住宅只有在 PV 效率提高且所有屋顶和大部分外墙都覆盖有 PV 的情况下才能实现自给自足。所有自给自足的案例在技术上都是可行的,但比完全电气化的联网案例更昂贵。如果储能和化石燃料价格提高,自给自足案例在某些情况下甚至可能具有成本竞争力。因此,如果政治措施提高了它们的财务吸引力,或者个人决定承担必要的投资,自给自足的建筑可能会开始变得越来越普遍。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/08e5/7055740/5a013d5f1903/pone.0227368.g001.jpg

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