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夜间/非工作时间手术与死亡率的关联:系统评价和荟萃分析。

Association between night/after-hours surgery and mortality: a systematic review and meta-analysis.

机构信息

Department of Surgical, Oncological and Oral Science (Di.Chir.On.S.), Section of Anesthesia, Analgesia, Intensive Care and Emergency, Policlinico Paolo Giaccone, University of Palermo, Palermo, Italy.

Department of Surgical, Oncological and Oral Science (Di.Chir.On.S.), Section of Anesthesia, Analgesia, Intensive Care and Emergency, Policlinico Paolo Giaccone, University of Palermo, Palermo, Italy.

出版信息

Br J Anaesth. 2020 May;124(5):623-637. doi: 10.1016/j.bja.2020.01.019. Epub 2020 Mar 5.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

The association between night/after-hours surgery and patients' mortality is unclear.

METHODS

The protocol of this systematic review was registered in PROSPERO (CRD42019128534). We searched Medline, PubMed, and EMBASE from inception until August 29, 2019 for studies examining an association between timing of surgical procedures (time of anaesthesia induction or surgery start) and mortality (within 30 days or in-hospital) in adult patients. Studies reporting patients' mortality after surgery performed during the weekend only were excluded. All analyses were done using the random-effects model.

RESULTS

We included 40 observational studies (36 retrospective and four prospective) that examined a total of 2 957 065 patients. Twenty-eight studies were judged of good quality and 12 of poor quality according to Newcastle-Ottawa score, owing to a lack of adequate comparability between study groups. Primary analysis from adjusted estimates demonstrated as association between night/after-hours surgery and a higher risk of mortality (odds ratio [OR]=1.16; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.06-1.28; P=0.002; number of studies=18; I=67%) based on low certainty evidence. Analysis from unadjusted estimates demonstrated a consistent association (OR=1.47; 95% CI, 1.19-1.83; P=0.0005; studies=38, I=97%; low certainty). The number of centres per study had no credible subgroup effect on the association between the time of surgery and mortality. We were unable to evaluate the subgroup effect of urgency of surgery because of high heterogeneity.

CONCLUSIONS

Night/after-hours surgery may be associated with a higher risk of mortality. Patients' and surgical characteristics seem not to completely explain this finding. However, the certainty of the evidence was low.

摘要

背景

夜间/非工作时间手术与患者死亡率之间的关联尚不清楚。

方法

本系统评价的方案已在 PROSPERO(CRD42019128534)中注册。我们检索了 Medline、PubMed 和 EMBASE,从建库至 2019 年 8 月 29 日,以查找研究手术时间(麻醉诱导或手术开始时间)与成人患者死亡率(30 天内或住院期间)之间关联的研究。仅报告周末进行的手术患者死亡率的研究被排除在外。所有分析均使用随机效应模型进行。

结果

我们纳入了 40 项观察性研究(36 项回顾性研究和 4 项前瞻性研究),共纳入 2957065 例患者。根据纽卡斯尔-渥太华量表,28 项研究被评为高质量,12 项研究被评为低质量,这是由于研究组之间缺乏充分的可比性。根据调整后的估计值进行的主要分析表明,夜间/非工作时间手术与更高的死亡率风险相关(比值比[OR],1.16;95%置信区间[CI],1.06-1.28;P=0.002;研究数量=18;I²=67%),证据质量为低。根据未调整的估计值进行的分析表明,这种关联是一致的(OR=1.47;95%CI,1.19-1.83;P=0.0005;研究数量=38,I²=97%;低质量)。每项研究的中心数量对手术时间与死亡率之间的关联没有可信的亚组效应。由于异质性很高,我们无法评估手术紧迫性的亚组效应。

结论

夜间/非工作时间手术可能与更高的死亡率风险相关。患者和手术特点似乎并不能完全解释这一发现。然而,证据的确定性较低。

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