Simulations Plus, Inc., Lancaster, CA, USA.
Pest Manag Sci. 2020 Jul;76(7):2267-2275. doi: 10.1002/ps.5820. Epub 2020 Apr 10.
'Deep learning' is causing rapid technological changes in many fields of science, and conjectures about its potential for transforming everyone's work and lives is a matter of great debate. Unfortunately, it is all too easy to apply it as a 'black box' tool with little consideration of its potential limitations, especially when the data it is being applied to is less than perfect. In this Perspective, I try to put deep learning into a broader mechanistic and historical context by showing how it relates to older forms of artificial intelligence; by providing a general explanation of how it operates; and by exploring some of the challenges involved in its implementation. Examples wherein it has been applied to pest management problems are provided to illustrate how the technology works and the challenges deep learning faces. At least in the near term, its biggest impact on agrochemical development seems likely to come in automating the tedious work involved in assessing agrochemical efficacy, but getting there will require major investments in building large, well-curated data sets to work from and in providing the expertise required to assess the resulting model predictions in real-world scenarios. Deep learning may also come to complement the machine learning methodologies already available for use in pesticide discovery and development, but it seems unlikely to supplant them. © 2020 The Authors. Pest Management Science published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd on behalf of Society of Chemical Industry.
“深度学习”正在引发许多科学领域的快速技术变革,关于它改变每个人的工作和生活的潜力的种种猜测,引发了激烈的争论。不幸的是,人们很容易将其作为一个“黑箱”工具来使用,而很少考虑其潜在的局限性,尤其是在它所应用的数据不太完善的情况下。在本观点文章中,我试图通过展示深度学习与较老式的人工智能之间的关系,通过提供其工作原理的一般解释,并通过探索其实施所涉及的一些挑战,将深度学习置于更广泛的机械和历史背景中。提供了一些将其应用于害虫管理问题的示例,以说明该技术的工作原理和深度学习所面临的挑战。至少在短期内,它对农用化学品开发的最大影响可能在于自动化评估农用化学品功效所涉及的繁琐工作,但要实现这一目标,需要在构建大型、精心策划的数据集和提供评估实际场景中产生的模型预测所需的专业知识方面进行重大投资。深度学习也可能会补充已经可用于农药发现和开发的机器学习方法,但它似乎不太可能取代它们。 © 2020 作者。 Pest Management Science 由 John Wiley & Sons Ltd 代表化学工业协会出版。