Castro Sybelle de Souza, Scatena Lúcia Marina, Miranzi Alfredo, Miranzi Neto Almir, Nunes Altacílio Aparecido
Universidade de São Paulo, Programa de Pós-Graduação Stricto Sensu em Saúde na Comunidade, Ribeirão Preto, SP, Brasil.
Universidade Federal do Triângulo Mineiro, Programa de Pós-Graduação Strictu Sensu em Inovação Tecnológica, Uberaba, MG, Brasil.
Epidemiol Serv Saude. 2020 Mar 23;29(1):e2018387. doi: 10.5123/S1679-49742020000100016. eCollection 2020.
to analyze the temporal trend of Human Immunodeficiency Virus (HIV) and Acquired Immune Deficiency Syndrome (AIDS) incidence, detection and mortality coefficients in the state of Minas Gerais between 2007 and 2016.
this was a time series study of data held on the Notifiable Health Conditions Information System (Sinan) using Prais-Winsten regression.
in the period studied, 35,349 cases were notified, with predominance of sexually transmitted cases (81.7%), 50.3% of which were heterosexual cases and 22.8% were homosexual cases. AIDS incidence increased (annual change 1.6%; 95%CI 0.0;3.3) as did HIV detection (annual change 60.3%; 95%CI 22.9;109.0). The mortality rate was stationary; HIV+ notifications increased from 3.8% in 2007 to 65.1% in 2016.
the growing trend of HIV+ detection coincided with the government strategy to identify cases. AIDS incidence increased.
分析2007年至2016年米纳斯吉拉斯州人类免疫缺陷病毒（HIV）和获得性免疫缺陷综合征（AIDS）的发病率、检测率和死亡率系数的时间趋势。
这是一项使用普雷斯-温斯顿回归对法定健康状况信息系统（Sinan）中的数据进行的时间序列研究。
在研究期间，共报告了35349例病例，其中性传播病例占主导（81.7%），其中50.3%为异性传播病例，22.8%为同性传播病例。艾滋病发病率上升（年变化1.6%；95%置信区间0.0；3.3），HIV检测率也上升（年变化60.3%；95%置信区间22.9；109.0）。死亡率保持稳定；HIV阳性报告从2007年的3.8%增至2016年的65.1%。
HIV阳性检测率的上升趋势与政府识别病例的策略相吻合。艾滋病发病率上升。
