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2020 年 1 月至 2 月中国对 2019 冠状病毒病的有限早期预警和公众关注度:一项随机抽样微博用户的纵向队列研究。

Limited Early Warnings and Public Attention to Coronavirus Disease 2019 in China, January-February, 2020: A Longitudinal Cohort of Randomly Sampled Weibo Users.

机构信息

Journalism and Media Studies Centre, The University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong.

School of Public Health, The University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong.

出版信息

Disaster Med Public Health Prep. 2020 Oct;14(5):e24-e27. doi: 10.1017/dmp.2020.68. Epub 2020 Apr 3.

Abstract

OBJECTIVE

Awareness and attentiveness have implications for the acceptance and adoption of disease prevention and control measures. Social media posts provide a record of the public's attention to an outbreak. To measure the attention of Chinese netizens to coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19), a pre-established nationally representative cohort of Weibo users was searched for COVID-19-related key words in their posts.

METHODS

COVID-19-related posts (N = 1101) were retrieved from a longitudinal cohort of 52 268 randomly sampled Weibo accounts (December 31, 2019-February 12, 2020).

RESULTS

Attention to COVID-19 was limited prior to China openly acknowledging human-to-human transmission on January 20. Following this date, attention quickly increased and has remained high over time. Particularly high levels of social media traffic appeared around when Wuhan was first placed in quarantine (January 23-24, 8-9% of the overall posts), when a scandal associated with the Red Cross Society of China occurred (February 1, 8%), and, following the death of Dr Li Wenliang (February 6-7, 11%), one of the whistleblowers who was reprimanded by the Chinese police in early January for discussing this outbreak online.

CONCLUSION

Limited early warnings represent missed opportunities to engage citizens earlier in the outbreak. Governments should more proactively communicate early warnings to the public in a transparent manner.

摘要

目的

意识和专注力对疾病预防和控制措施的接受和采用有影响。社交媒体帖子提供了公众对疫情关注度的记录。为了衡量中国网民对 2019 年冠状病毒病(COVID-19)的关注,我们在微博用户的预先建立的全国代表性队列中搜索了与 COVID-19 相关的关键词。

方法

从 52268 个随机抽样的微博账户的纵向队列中检索到与 COVID-19 相关的帖子(2019 年 12 月 31 日至 2020 年 2 月 12 日)。

结果

在中国公开承认人与人之间的传播是在 1 月 20 日之前,对 COVID-19 的关注度有限。此后,关注度迅速增加,并随着时间的推移保持高位。社交媒体的流量特别高是在武汉首次被隔离(1 月 23 日至 24 日,占总帖子的 8-9%)、中国红十字会出现相关丑闻(2 月 1 日,8%)和李文亮医生去世时(2 月 6 日至 7 日,11%),李文亮是 1 月初因在网上讨论疫情而被中国警方训斥的一名举报人。

结论

早期预警的局限性代表着错失了让公民更早参与疫情的机会。政府应该更积极主动地以透明的方式向公众传达预警。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/f31b/7171227/ec7f5ee55a6e/S1935789320000683_fig1.jpg

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