Department of Surgery, University of California San Francisco, San Francisco, Calif.
Department of Surgery, University of California San Francisco, San Francisco, Calif.
J Thorac Cardiovasc Surg. 2020 Nov;160(5):1385-1395.e6. doi: 10.1016/j.jtcvs.2020.02.080. Epub 2020 Mar 4.
Early survival after lung transplantation has improved in the last decade. Mechanically ventilated recipients are known to be at greater risk for early post-transplant mortality. We hypothesized that post-transplant survival in mechanically ventilated recipients has improved over time.
Using a national registry, we compared hazard of death at 30 days, 4 and 14 months, 3 and 5 years, and overall for adults on mechanical ventilation who underwent lung or heart-lung transplantation from May 4, 2011, to April 4, 2018 (modern group) with those undergoing transplantation from May 4, 2005, to May 3, 2011 (early group). We quantified the impact of mechanical ventilation on survival using population-attributable fractions. We also compared mechanically ventilated recipients with nonmechanically ventilated recipients.
Mechanically ventilated recipients from the modern group had lower hazard of death than recipients in the early group at all time-points, lowest at 30-days post-transplant (hazard ratio, 0.04; 95% confidence interval, 0.02-0.08). In the modern period, mechanically ventilated recipients had greater hazard of death than nonmechanically ventilated recipients at 30 days' post-transplant (9.53; 4.57-19.86). For mechanically ventilated recipients, the population attributable fraction was lower in the modern group compared to the earlier group (0.6% vs 5.7%).
While mechanically ventilated recipients remain at high risk, survival in this patient population has improved over time. This may reflect improvements in perioperative recipient management.
在过去的十年中,肺移植术后的早期存活率有所提高。已知需要机械通气的受者发生移植后早期死亡的风险更高。我们假设,需要机械通气的受者在移植后的存活率随时间推移有所改善。
利用国家登记处,我们比较了 2011 年 5 月 4 日至 2018 年 4 月 4 日(现代组)和 2005 年 5 月 4 日至 2011 年 5 月 3 日(早期组)期间接受肺或心肺移植且需要机械通气的成人患者在 30 天、4 个月和 14 个月、3 年和 5 年时以及总体的死亡风险。我们使用人群归因分数来量化机械通气对生存率的影响。我们还比较了需要机械通气和不需要机械通气的受者。
现代组的需要机械通气的受者在所有时间点的死亡风险均低于早期组,在移植后 30 天的死亡风险最低(风险比,0.04;95%置信区间,0.02-0.08)。在现代时期,与不需要机械通气的受者相比,需要机械通气的受者在移植后 30 天的死亡风险更高(9.53;4.57-19.86)。对于需要机械通气的受者,现代组的人群归因分数低于早期组(0.6%对 5.7%)。
尽管需要机械通气的受者仍然处于高风险中,但该患者群体的生存率随时间推移有所提高。这可能反映了围手术期受者管理的改善。