Saarela Jan, Scott Kirk
1Demography Unit, Åbo Akademi University, Strandgatan 2, 65100 Vaasa, Finland.
2Centre for Economic Demography, School of Economics and Management, Lund University, P.O. Box 7083, 220 07 Lund, Sweden.
Eur J Popul. 2019 Jun 13;36(2):317-335. doi: 10.1007/s10680-019-09530-3. eCollection 2020 Apr.
Using unique longitudinal microdata linking administrative records from Sweden and Finland, we study how immigrant naturalization relates to cultural proximity. We analyze how Swedish citizenship acquisition depends on mother tongue by comparing Swedish-speaking and Finnish-speaking immigrants from Finland, who arrived in Sweden in 1988-2004, and contrast with other Nordic-born immigrants. We treat return migration and naturalization as two elements in the decision process of immigrants, being the first to estimate competing risks models for naturalization and return migration for the same study group of persons. The setting of free mobility in the Nordic countries, together with economic, political and social similarities, implies that the direct benefits of naturalization are modest and the same for all Nordic-born immigrants in Sweden. Thus, we assess naturalization in an analytical framework where many confounding factors are circumvented and in which the study groups have grown up in the similar institutional setting. Swedish-speaking Finns are found to have an approximately 30 percent higher standardized risk of naturalization than Finnish-speaking Finns, and a 2.5 times higher risk as compared to people from the other Nordic countries. We argue that these differentials reflect the degree to which the groups broadly differ in affinity with Sweden.
利用瑞典和芬兰行政记录相链接的独特纵向微观数据,我们研究移民入籍与文化亲近度之间的关系。我们通过比较1988年至2004年抵达瑞典的来自芬兰的说瑞典语和说芬兰语的移民,分析获得瑞典公民身份如何取决于母语,并与其他出生于北欧的移民进行对比。我们将回流移民和入籍视为移民决策过程中的两个要素,率先为同一研究群体的入籍和回流移民估计竞争风险模型。北欧国家的自由流动环境,连同经济、政治和社会方面的相似性,意味着入籍的直接好处不大,且对瑞典所有出生于北欧的移民来说都是一样的。因此,我们在一个分析框架中评估入籍情况,该框架规避了许多混杂因素,且研究群体是在相似的制度环境中成长起来的。结果发现,说瑞典语的芬兰人入籍的标准化风险比说芬兰语的芬兰人高出约30%,与来自其他北欧国家的人相比风险高出2.5倍。我们认为,这些差异反映了不同群体与瑞典亲近程度的广泛差异。