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2011 - 2017年瑞士入籍与国际移民的纵向分析

A Longitudinal Analysis of Naturalization and International Migration in Switzerland, 2011-2017.

作者信息

Galeano Juan, Pont Aurélie, Wanner Philippe

机构信息

nccr - on the move, Neuchâtel, Switzerland.

Geneva School of Social Sciences, Institute for Demography and Socioeconomics, University of Geneva, Geneva, Switzerland.

出版信息

J Int Migr Integr. 2022;23(2):889-910. doi: 10.1007/s12134-021-00857-7. Epub 2021 Jul 14.

Abstract

The notion of residential settlement associated with the acquisition of new citizenship has been recently challenged by a number of studies highlighting its instrumentality as a subsequent mobility factor. The long and diverse history of Switzerland as a country of immigration and the availability of rich data on naturalization and international migration that allow individuals to be followed over time make this country a valuable case for investigating the impact of naturalization on international (return or onward) migration. Using longitudinal data, we follow 88,900 immigrants who entered the country between 1998 and 2000 over a period of 84 months between January 2011 and December 2017, documenting changes in naturalization status and in migratory movements and their direction. Using different implementations of a Cox proportional hazards model, we examine whether and under what conditions the international migration behaviour of naturalized persons differs from that of non-naturalized persons. Our results show that the population accessing naturalization tends to be less mobile, but also that among third-country nationals, naturalization can trigger further international mobility, in particular among those with poor economic performance and with no family ties in Switzerland.

摘要

近期,一些研究对与获得新公民身份相关的定居概念提出了挑战,这些研究强调其作为后续流动因素的工具性。瑞士作为一个移民国家有着悠久而多样的历史,并且拥有丰富的入籍和国际移民数据,这些数据能够对个人进行长期跟踪,这使得该国成为研究入籍对国际(返回或继续前行)移民影响的一个有价值的案例。利用纵向数据,我们追踪了1998年至2000年间进入该国的88900名移民,在2011年1月至2017年12月的84个月期间记录入籍状态、移民流动及其方向的变化。使用Cox比例风险模型的不同实现方式,我们研究了入籍者的国际移民行为是否以及在何种条件下与未入籍者不同。我们的结果表明,获得入籍的人群流动性往往较低,但在第三国国民中,入籍也可能引发进一步的国际流动,特别是在那些经济表现不佳且在瑞士没有家庭关系的人群中。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/e57f/9106632/682d662eb6e6/12134_2021_857_Fig1_HTML.jpg

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