Pitfalls in Cancer Biomarker Discovery and Validation with Emphasis on Circulating Tumor DNA.

Despite significant investment of funds and resources, few new cancer biomarkers have been introduced to the clinic in the last few decades. Although many candidates produce promising results in the laboratory, deficiencies in sensitivity, specificity, and predictive value make them less than desirable in a patient setting. This review will analyze these challenges in detail as well as discuss false discovery, problems with reproducibility, and tumor heterogeneity. Circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA), an emerging cancer biomarker, is also analyzed, particularly in the contexts of assay specificity, sensitivity, fragmentation, lead time, mutant allele fraction, and clinical relevance. Emerging artificial intelligence technologies will likely be valuable tools in maximizing the clinical utility of ctDNA which is often found in very small quantities in patients with early-stage tumors. Finally, the implications of challenging false discoveries are examined and some insights about improving cancer biomarker discovery are provided.