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父母是否能抵消其子女的碳排放?

Do parents counter-balance the carbon emissions of their children?

机构信息

Sweden and Department of Food and Resource Economics, Lund University School of Economics and Management, University of Copenhagen, Copenhagen, Denmark.

Department of Economics, University of Wyoming, Laramie, WY, United States of America.

出版信息

PLoS One. 2020 Apr 15;15(4):e0231105. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0231105. eCollection 2020.

Abstract

It is well understood that adding to the population increases CO2 emissions. At the same time, having children is a transformative experience, such that it might profoundly change adult (i.e., parents') preferences and consumption. How it might change is, however, unknown. Depending on if becoming a parent makes a person "greener" or "browner," parents may either balance or exacerbate the added CO2 emissions from their children. Parents might think more about the future, compared to childless adults, including risks posed to their children from environmental events like climate change. But parenthood also adds needs and more intensive competition on your scarce time. Carbon-intensive goods can add convenience and help save time, e.g., driving may facilitate being in more places in one day, compared to public transportation or biking. Pre-prepared food that contain red meat may save time and satisfy more household preferences, relative to vegetarian food. We provide the first rigorous test of whether parents are greener or browner than other adults. We create a unique dataset by combining detailed micro data on household expenditures of all expenditure groups particularly important for CO2 emissions (transportation, food, and heating/electricity) with CO2 emissions, and compare emissions from Swedish adults with and without children. We find that parents emit more CO2 than childless adults. Only a small fraction of adults permanently choose not to have children, which means any meaningful self-selection into parenthood based on green preferences is unlikely. Our findings suggest that having children might increase CO2 emissions both by adding to the population and by increasing CO2 emissions from those choosing to have children.

摘要

众所周知,人口增长会增加二氧化碳排放。与此同时,生育孩子是一种具有变革性的经历,可能会深刻改变成年人(即父母)的偏好和消费。但具体会如何改变尚不清楚。如果成为父母会使一个人变得“更环保”还是“更浪费”,那么父母可能会平衡或加剧因子女而增加的二氧化碳排放。与没有孩子的成年人相比,父母可能会更多地考虑未来,包括气候变化等环境事件对子女构成的风险。但为人父母也会增加需求,并在稀缺的时间上带来更激烈的竞争。碳密集型商品可以带来便利并节省时间,例如开车可能比公共交通或骑自行车一天能去更多地方。含有红肉的预制食品可以节省时间并满足更多家庭的偏好,相对素食食品而言。我们首次严格检验了父母是否比其他成年人更环保或更浪费。我们通过将对二氧化碳排放特别重要的所有支出群体(交通、食品和取暖/用电)的家庭支出详细微观数据与二氧化碳排放相结合,创建了一个独特的数据集,并比较了有子女和无子女的瑞典成年人的排放量。我们发现,父母排放的二氧化碳多于没有孩子的成年人。只有一小部分成年人永久选择不生育子女,这意味着基于环保偏好而进行的任何有意义的自主选择生育的情况都不太可能发生。我们的研究结果表明,生育子女不仅会因人口增长而增加二氧化碳排放,还会因选择生育子女的人而增加二氧化碳排放。

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