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时间序列分析与心理计量数据。

Time series analyses with psychometric data.

机构信息

Department of Research Methods, Institute of Psychology and Education, Ulm University, Ulm, Germany.

出版信息

PLoS One. 2020 Apr 16;15(4):e0231785. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0231785. eCollection 2020.

Abstract

Understanding of interactional dynamics between several processes is one of the most important challenges in psychology and psychosomatic medicine. Researchers exploring behavior or other psychological phenomena mostly deal with ordinal or interval data. Missing values and consequential non-equidistant measurements represent a general problem of longitudinal studies from this field. The majority of process-oriented methodologies was originally designed for equidistant data measured on ratio scales. Therefore, the goal of this article is to clarify the conditions for satisfactory performance of longitudinal methods with data typical in psychological and psychosomatic research. This study examines the performance of the Johansen test, a procedure incorporating a set of sophisticated time series techniques, in reference to data quality utilizing a Monte Carlo method. The main results of the conducted simulation studies are: (1) Time series analyses require samples of at least 70 observations for an accurate estimation and inference. (2) Discrete data and failing equidistance of measurements due to irregular missing values appear unproblematic. (3) Relevant characteristics of stationary processes can be adequately captured using 5- or 7-point ordinal scales. (4) For trending processes, at least 10-point scales are necessary to ensure an acceptable quality of estimation and inference.

摘要

理解多个过程之间的相互作用动态是心理学和心身医学中最重要的挑战之一。研究人员探索行为或其他心理现象时,主要处理有序或区间数据。缺失值和由此产生的非等距测量是该领域纵向研究的一个普遍问题。大多数面向过程的方法最初是为等距数据在比率量表上设计的。因此,本文的目的是澄清具有心理和身心研究中典型数据的纵向方法的满意性能的条件。本研究使用蒙特卡罗方法检查了 Johansen 检验的性能,Johansen 检验是一种包含一系列复杂时间序列技术的程序,用于参考数据质量。进行的模拟研究的主要结果是:(1)时间序列分析需要至少 70 个观测值的样本才能进行准确的估计和推断。(2)离散数据和由于不规则缺失值导致的不等距测量似乎没有问题。(3)使用 5 点或 7 点有序量表可以充分捕捉平稳过程的相关特征。(4)对于趋势过程,至少需要 10 点量表才能确保估计和推断的质量可接受。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/d17d/7162519/a966cf0f2e3f/pone.0231785.g001.jpg

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