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ICT、金融发展和制度质量对巴基斯坦二氧化碳排放的动态非线性影响:来自 QARDL 方法的新见解。

The dynamic nonlinear influence of ICT, financial development, and institutional quality on CO2 emission in Pakistan: new insights from QARDL approach.

机构信息

Bahria University Karachi Campus, Karachi, Pakistan.

Othman Yeop Abdullah Graduate School of Business, Universiti Utara, Changlun, Malaysia.

出版信息

Environ Sci Pollut Res Int. 2020 Jul;27(19):24190-24200. doi: 10.1007/s11356-020-08619-1. Epub 2020 Apr 17.

DOI:10.1007/s11356-020-08619-1
PMID:32304061
Abstract

This novel research is an argumentative subject which was needed to be addressed and to fill this gap, the author examined the effect of financial development, information and communication technology, and institutional quality on CO2 emission in Pakistan by using quantile autoregressive distributed lag (QARDL) model. The data were obtained for the period from 1995Q1 to 2018Q4. In the long run, GDP and institutional quality have a positive impact on CO2 emission when this emission is already high, which shows that if the GDP and institutional quality increases, the CO2 emission also increases. Moreover, financial development and ICT has a negative impact on CO2 emission irrespective of emission level that whether it is high or low in the country, which shows that if financial enhancement and ICT increases, carbon emission decreases. The study also supported the EKC hypothesis in Pakistan.

摘要

这项新的研究是一个有争议的主题,需要解决,为了填补这一空白,作者通过使用分位数自回归分布滞后(QARDL)模型,考察了金融发展、信息和通信技术以及制度质量对巴基斯坦二氧化碳排放的影响。数据取自 1995 年第一季度至 2018 年第四季度。从长期来看,当二氧化碳排放已经很高时,国内生产总值和制度质量对二氧化碳排放有正向影响,这表明如果国内生产总值和制度质量增加,二氧化碳排放也会增加。此外,无论一国的二氧化碳排放水平高低(高或低),金融发展和信息通信技术对二氧化碳排放都有负向影响,这表明如果金融发展和信息通信技术增强,碳排放就会减少。该研究还支持了巴基斯坦的 EKC 假说。

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