Paediatric Dept, Mater Dei Hospital, Malta.
Early Hum Dev. 2020 Jun;145:105043. doi: 10.1016/j.earlhumdev.2020.105043. Epub 2020 Apr 10.
The world is in the grip of pandemic COVID-19 (SARS-CoV-2). Children appear to be only mildly affected but for those countries that are still preparing for their first wave of infections, it is salutary to have some estimates with which to plan for eventual contingencies. These assessments would include acute hospital admission requirements, intensive care admissions and deaths per given population. It is also useful to have an estimate of how many paediatric admissions to expect per given population. However it is only very recently that paediatric epidemiological data has become available. This paper will create an interactive spreadsheet model to estimate population and paediatric admissions for a given population, with the author's country, Malta, as a worked example for both.
目前全球正处于 COVID-19（SARS-CoV-2）大流行之中。儿童似乎受到的影响较轻，但对于那些仍在为第一波感染做准备的国家来说，有一些估计数可以用来规划最终的应急措施是有益的。这些评估将包括急性住院治疗需求、重症监护病房入院人数和每给定人群的死亡人数。估计每给定人群的儿科入院人数也是有用的。然而，直到最近才获得儿科流行病学数据。本文将创建一个交互式电子表格模型，以估计给定人群的人口和儿科住院人数，并以作者所在的马耳他为例进行说明。
