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具有潜伏期传染性和对易感者进行居家隔离的SEIR模型动力学

Dynamics of an SEIR model with infectivity in incubation period and homestead-isolation on the susceptible.

作者信息

Jiao Jianjun, Liu Zuozhi, Cai Shaohong

机构信息

School of Mathematics and Statistics, Guizhou University of Finance and Economics, Guiyang 550025, PR China.

出版信息

Appl Math Lett. 2020 Sep;107:106442. doi: 10.1016/j.aml.2020.106442. Epub 2020 Apr 25.

Abstract

In this paper, we present an SEIR epidemic model with infectivity in incubation period and homestead-isolation on the susceptible. We prove that the infection-free equilibrium point is locally and globally asymptotically stable with condition We also prove that the positive equilibrium point is locally and globally asymptotically stable with condition Numerical simulations are employed to illustrate our results. In the absence of vaccines or antiviral drugs for the virus, our results suggest that the governments should strictly implement the isolation system to make every effort to curb propagation of disease during the epidemic.

摘要

在本文中,我们提出了一个具有潜伏期传染性和对易感者进行居家隔离的SEIR传染病模型。我们证明了在条件下无感染平衡点是局部和全局渐近稳定的。我们还证明了在条件下正平衡点是局部和全局渐近稳定的。通过数值模拟来说明我们的结果。在没有针对该病毒的疫苗或抗病毒药物的情况下,我们的结果表明政府应严格执行隔离制度,在疫情期间尽一切努力遏制疾病的传播。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/302e/7182770/de2d4833bbf3/gr1_lrg.jpg

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