School of Mathematics and Statistics, Guangdong University of Foreign Studies, Guangzhou, China.
School of Economics and Trade, Guangdong University of Foreign Studies, Guangzhou, China.
Environ Sci Pollut Res Int. 2020 Jul;27(20):25149-25162. doi: 10.1007/s11356-020-08993-w. Epub 2020 Apr 28.
To coordinate economic development and carbon emission reduction targets, China needs to improve carbon emission efficiency and upgrade the industrial structure. Therefore, it is important to study the coupling degree and coupling path between these two factors in various provinces in China, and thereby promote the development of China's low-carbon economy. We first calculate carbon emission efficiency using the Super-SBM model, then analyze an extended coupling model between carbon emission efficiency and industrial structure upgrading, and finally design the coupling paths using the framework of distribution dynamics. There are three main findings. First, the coupling degree of nearly half the provinces is at the level of mild-to-moderate imbalance recession. And in terms of specific coupling characteristics, nearly half the provinces belong to the type "low-level coordination," with a low development degree and high coordination degree. Second, there is an obvious dynamic imbalance between China's carbon emission efficiency and industrial structure upgrading, and the "low-level trap" of regional carbon emission efficiency is more serious than that of regional industrial structure upgrading. Finally, if the government prioritizes provinces with low carbon emission efficiency, carbon emission efficiency and the coupling efficiency with industrial structure can be improved, which would not only improve the coupling degree within each region but also alleviate the disharmony between regions.
为协调经济发展与碳排放目标,中国需要提高碳排放效率并升级产业结构。因此,研究中国各省份这两个因素之间的耦合程度和耦合路径,从而促进中国低碳经济的发展至关重要。我们首先利用超效率 SBM 模型计算碳排放效率,然后分析碳排放效率与产业结构升级之间的扩展耦合模型,最后利用分布动态框架设计耦合路径。主要有三个发现。第一,近一半省份的耦合度处于中低度不均衡衰退水平。就具体的耦合特征而言,近一半省份属于“低水平协调”类型,发展程度低,协调程度高。第二,中国碳排放效率与产业结构升级之间存在明显的动态失衡,区域碳排放效率的“低级陷阱”比区域产业结构升级更为严重。最后,如果政府优先考虑碳排放效率较低的省份,那么碳排放效率和与产业结构的耦合效率将会提高,这不仅会提高每个区域的耦合程度,还会缓解区域间的不和谐。