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中国工业系统碳排放效率差异分析及优化演进:投入产出分析

Analysis on carbon emissions efficiency differences and optimization evolution of China's industrial system: An input-output analysis.

机构信息

School of Public Affairs, Chongqing University, Chongqing, China.

School of Economics, Hainan University, Haikou, Hainan, China.

出版信息

PLoS One. 2022 Mar 24;17(3):e0258147. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0258147. eCollection 2022.

Abstract

The excessive carbon emissions not only intensify the global climate change, but also seriously restrict the sustainable development of social economy. However, improving industrial carbon emissions efficiency is the most directly effective way to reduce emissions. Therefore, accurate measurement and analysis of carbon emissions efficiency and evolution characteristics of China's industrial system is the basis for China to improve carbon emissions efficiency. Based on this, we adopted energy consumption method and input-output method to calculate and analyze the industrial carbon emissions efficiency and evolution characteristics of China from 2002 to 2015. The results show that (1) If carbon emissions from cement production are ignored and only energy-related carbon emissions are considered, the calculation results of carbon emissions efficiency of heavy industry will be overestimated about 30%. (2) Compared with 2002, China's industrial carbon emissions efficiency increased by about twice in 2015. Specifically, the optimization of carbon emissions efficiency in agriculture, construction, light industry and service industry is very obvious, which has increased by 5.65, 5.00, 4.69 and 4.68 times respectively; The optimization of carbon emissions efficiency in power sector, heavy industry, transportation and chemical industry was obvious, which increased by 2.55, 2.01, 1.86 and 1.47 times respectively; The carbon emissions efficiency of the fossil energy sector has decreased by 0.36 times. (3) The carbon emissions efficiency of various industries has significant differences. Among them, agriculture, service industry, light industry and construction industry are generally industries with higher carbon emissions efficiency, while power sector, fossil energy sector, transportation industry, chemical industry and heavy industry are generally industries with lower carbon emissions efficiency, especially power and fossil energy sectors. Based on these, this paper provides policy implications and scientific evidence for accurately improving carbon emissions efficiency from the perspective of carbon emissions efficiency.

摘要

过度碳排放不仅加剧了全球气候变化,也严重制约了社会经济的可持续发展。然而,提高工业碳排放效率是减少排放的最直接有效途径。因此,准确衡量和分析中国工业系统的碳排放效率和演变特征是中国提高碳排放效率的基础。在此基础上,我们采用能源消耗法和投入产出法,计算和分析了 2002 年至 2015 年中国工业的碳排放效率和演变特征。结果表明:(1)如果忽略水泥生产中的碳排放,仅考虑能源相关的碳排放,那么重工业的碳排放效率计算结果将高估约 30%。(2)与 2002 年相比,中国的工业碳排放效率在 2015 年提高了约两倍。具体而言,农业、建筑业、轻工业和服务业的碳排放效率优化非常明显,分别提高了 5.65、5.00、4.69 和 4.68 倍;电力、重工业、交通运输和化学工业的碳排放效率优化明显,分别提高了 2.55、2.01、1.86 和 1.47 倍;化石能源部门的碳排放效率下降了 0.36 倍。(3)各行业的碳排放效率存在显著差异。其中,农业、服务业、轻工业和建筑业一般是碳排放效率较高的行业,而电力、化石能源、交通运输、化工和重工业一般是碳排放效率较低的行业,尤其是电力和化石能源行业。基于这些结果,本文从碳排放效率的角度为准确提高碳排放效率提供了政策建议和科学依据。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/a29e/8947079/6e0ac81cb886/pone.0258147.g001.jpg

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