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寻求庇护者的自我选择:来自德国的证据。

Self-selection of Asylum Seekers: Evidence From Germany.

机构信息

Institute for Employment Research, Nuremberg, Germany.

CERDI, CNRS, Université Clermont Auvergne, Clermont-Ferrand, France.

出版信息

Demography. 2020 Jun;57(3):1089-1116. doi: 10.1007/s13524-020-00873-9.

Abstract

I examine the pattern of selection on education of asylum seekers recently arrived in Germany from five key source countries: Afghanistan, Albania, Iraq, Serbia, and Syria. The analysis relies on original individual-level data collected in Germany combined with surveys conducted at origin. The results reveal a positive pattern of selection on education for asylum seekers who were able to flee Iraq and Syria, and the selection is neutral for individuals seeking asylum from Afghanistan and negative for asylum seekers from Albania and Serbia. I provide an interpretation of these patterns based on differences in the expected length of stay at destination, the migration costs faced by asylum seekers to reach Germany, and the size of migration networks at destination.

摘要

我考察了最近从五个主要来源国(阿富汗、阿尔巴尼亚、伊拉克、塞尔维亚和叙利亚)抵达德国的寻求庇护者的教育选择模式。分析依赖于在德国收集的原始个人层面数据,以及在原籍国进行的调查。结果显示,逃离伊拉克和叙利亚的寻求庇护者的教育选择呈现出积极模式,而来自阿富汗和阿尔巴尼亚和塞尔维亚的寻求庇护者的选择则是中性的。我根据目的地停留时间的预期差异、寻求庇护者到达德国面临的移民成本以及目的地移民网络的规模,对这些模式进行了解释。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/3f23/7329792/b082f7b7e722/13524_2020_873_Fig1_HTML.jpg

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