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美国新冠疫情早期期间 SARS-CoV-2 的全美蔓延。

Coast-to-Coast Spread of SARS-CoV-2 during the Early Epidemic in the United States.

机构信息

Department of Epidemiology of Microbial Diseases, Yale School of Public Health, New Haven, CT 06510, USA.

Department of Epidemiology of Microbial Diseases, Yale School of Public Health, New Haven, CT 06510, USA.

出版信息

Cell. 2020 May 28;181(5):990-996.e5. doi: 10.1016/j.cell.2020.04.021. Epub 2020 May 7.

Abstract

The novel coronavirus SARS-CoV-2 was first detected in the Pacific Northwest region of the United States in January 2020, with subsequent COVID-19 outbreaks detected in all 50 states by early March. To uncover the sources of SARS-CoV-2 introductions and patterns of spread within the United States, we sequenced nine viral genomes from early reported COVID-19 patients in Connecticut. Our phylogenetic analysis places the majority of these genomes with viruses sequenced from Washington state. By coupling our genomic data with domestic and international travel patterns, we show that early SARS-CoV-2 transmission in Connecticut was likely driven by domestic introductions. Moreover, the risk of domestic importation to Connecticut exceeded that of international importation by mid-March regardless of our estimated effects of federal travel restrictions. This study provides evidence of widespread sustained transmission of SARS-CoV-2 within the United States and highlights the critical need for local surveillance.

摘要

新型冠状病毒 SARS-CoV-2 于 2020 年 1 月首次在美国太平洋西北地区被检测到,随后在 3 月初,所有 50 个州都检测到了 COVID-19 疫情爆发。为了揭示 SARS-CoV-2 在美国境内的引入源和传播模式,我们对来自康涅狄格州的早期报告的 COVID-19 患者的九种病毒基因组进行了测序。我们的系统发育分析将大多数这些基因组与从华盛顿州测序的病毒放在一起。通过将我们的基因组数据与国内和国际旅行模式相结合,我们表明,康涅狄格州的早期 SARS-CoV-2 传播很可能是由国内传入引起的。此外,到 3 月中旬,无论我们估计联邦旅行限制的影响如何,国内传入康涅狄格州的风险都超过了国际传入的风险。本研究提供了在美国境内 SARS-CoV-2 广泛持续传播的证据,并强调了进行当地监测的重要性。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/2f05/7204677/2a9601561b92/fx1_lrg.jpg

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