Bruick Zachary S, Rasmussen Kristen L, Cecil Daniel J
Department of Atmospheric Science, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO.
Marshall Space Flight Center, National Aeronautics and Space Administration, Huntsville, AL.
Mon Weather Rev. 2019 Dec;147(12). doi: 10.1175/mwr-d-19-0011.1. Epub 2019 Nov 6.
Hailstorms in subtropical South America are known to be some of the most frequent anywhere in the world, causing significant damage to the local agricultural economy every year. Convection in this region tends to be orographically forced, with moisture supplied from the Amazon rainforest by the South American low-level jet. Previous climatologies of hailstorms in this region have been limited to localized and sparse observational networks. Due to the lack of sufficient ground-based radar coverage, objective radar-derived hail climatologies have also not been produced for this region. As a result, this study uses a 16-year dataset of TRMM Precipitation Radar and Microwave Imager observations to identify possible hailstorms remotely, using 37-GHz brightness temperature as a hail proxy. By combining satellite instruments and ERA-Interim reanalysis data, this study produces the first objective study of hailstorms in this region. Hailstorms in subtropical South America have an extended diurnal cycle, often occurring in the overnight hours. Additionally, they tend to be multi-cellular in nature, rather than discrete. High-probability hailstorms (≥ 50% probability of containing hail) tend to be deeper by 1-2 km and horizontally larger by greater than 15,000 km than storms having a low-probability of containing hail (< 25% probability of containing hail). Finally, hailstorms are supported synoptically by strong upper- and lower-level jets, anomalously warm and moist low levels, and enhanced instability. The findings of this study will support the forecasting of these severe storms and mitigation of their damages within this region.
南美洲亚热带地区的雹暴是世界上最频繁的地区之一,每年都会给当地农业经济造成重大损失。该地区的对流往往是地形强迫的,水分由南美低空急流从亚马逊雨林输送而来。此前该地区雹暴的气候学研究仅限于局部且稀疏的观测网络。由于缺乏足够的地基雷达覆盖,该地区也尚未生成基于客观雷达数据的雹暴气候学研究。因此,本研究使用了16年的热带降雨测量任务(TRMM)降水雷达和微波成像仪观测数据集,以37GHz亮度温度作为雹暴的替代指标,远程识别可能的雹暴。通过结合卫星仪器和欧洲中期天气预报中心(ERA-Interim)再分析数据,本研究首次对该地区的雹暴进行了客观研究。南美洲亚热带地区的雹暴日变化周期较长,通常在夜间发生。此外,它们往往是多单体性质,而非离散的。高概率雹暴(包含冰雹的概率≥50%)往往比低概率雹暴(包含冰雹的概率<25%)更深1-2公里,水平范围更大,超过15000平方公里。最后,雹暴在天气尺度上受到强烈的高层和低层急流、异常温暖潮湿的低层以及增强的不稳定度的支持。本研究的结果将有助于该地区这些严重风暴的预报及其灾害的减轻。