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利用GridRad MESH观测资料对23年严重冰雹气候学的研究

A 23-Year Severe Hail Climatology Using GridRad MESH Observations.

作者信息

Murillo Elisa M, Homeyer Cameron R, Allen John T

机构信息

School of Meteorology, University of Oklahoma, Norman, Oklahoma.

Department of Earth and Atmospheric Sciences, Central Michigan University, Mount Pleasant, Michigan.

出版信息

Mon Weather Rev. 2021 Apr 1;149(4):945-958. doi: 10.1175/mwr-d-20-0178.1. Epub 2021 Mar 17.

Abstract

Assessments of spatiotemporal severe hailfall characteristics using hail reports are plagued by serious limitations in report databases, including biases in reported sizes, occurrence time, and location. Multiple studies have used Next Generation Weather Radar (NEXRAD) network observations or environmental hail proxies from reanalyses. Previous work has specifically utilized the single-polarization radar parameter maximum expected size of hail (MESH). In addition to previous work being temporally limited, updates are needed to include recent improvements that have been made to MESH. This study aims to quantify severe hailfall characteristics during a 23-yr period, markedly longer than previous studies, using both radar observations and reanalysis data. First, the improved MESH configuration is applied to the full archive of gridded hourly radar observations known as GridRad (1995-2017). Next, environmental constraints from the Modern-Era Retrospective Analysis for Research and Applications, version 2, are applied to the MESH distributions to produce a corrected hailfall climatology that accounts for the reduced likelihood of hail reaching the ground. Spatial, diurnal, and seasonal patterns show that in contrast to the report climatology indicating one high-frequency hail maximum centered on the Great Plains, the MESH-only method characterizes two regions: the Great Plains and the Gulf Coast. The environmentally filtered MESH climatology reveals improved agreement between report characteristics (frequency, location, and timing) and the recently improved MESH calculation methods, and it reveals an overall increase in diagnosed hail days and westward broadening in the spatial maximum in the Great Plains than that seen in reports.

摘要

利用冰雹报告评估时空严重冰雹特征受到报告数据库严重限制的困扰,这些限制包括报告大小、发生时间和地点的偏差。多项研究使用了下一代天气雷达(NEXRAD)网络观测数据或再分析中的环境冰雹代理数据。此前的工作特别利用了单偏振雷达参数冰雹最大预期尺寸(MESH)。除了此前的工作存在时间限制外,还需要更新以纳入对MESH的最新改进。本研究旨在利用雷达观测和再分析数据,量化23年期间的严重冰雹特征,这一时期明显长于以往研究。首先,将改进后的MESH配置应用于名为GridRad(1995 - 2017年)的网格化每小时雷达观测的完整档案。接下来,将来自《现代时代回顾分析用于研究和应用》第2版的环境约束应用于MESH分布,以生成一个校正后的冰雹气候学,该气候学考虑了冰雹到达地面的可能性降低的情况。空间、日变化和季节模式表明,与报告气候学显示以大平原为中心的一个高频冰雹最大值不同,仅使用MESH的方法确定了两个区域:大平原和墨西哥湾沿岸。经过环境过滤的MESH气候学揭示了报告特征(频率、位置和时间)与最近改进的MESH计算方法之间更好的一致性,并且它揭示了诊断出的冰雹日总体增加,以及大平原空间最大值向西扩展,这比报告中看到的情况更明显。

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