Division of Cardiology, Department of Medicine, Cardiovascular Research Center, Massachusetts General Hospital, Harvard Medical School, Boston, Massachusetts.
Department of Cardiology, Sichuan Academy of Medical Sciences & Sichuan Provincial People's Hospital, School of Medicine, University of Electronic Science and Technology of China, Chengdu, Sichuan Province, China.
J Med Virol. 2020 Oct;92(10):1875-1883. doi: 10.1002/jmv.26050. Epub 2020 Jul 11.
Mortality rates of coronavirus disease-2019 (COVID-19) continue to rise across the world. Information regarding the predictors of mortality in patients with COVID-19 remains scarce. Herein, we performed a systematic review of published articles, from 1 January to 24 April 2020, to evaluate the risk factors associated with mortality in COVID-19. Two investigators independently searched the articles and collected the data, in accordance with PRISMA guidelines. We looked for associations between mortality and patient characteristics, comorbidities, and laboratory abnormalities. A total of 14 studies documenting the outcomes of 4659 patients were included. The presence of comorbidities such as hypertension (odds ratio [OR], 2.5; 95% confidence interval [CI], 2.1-3.1; P < .00001), coronary heart disease (OR, 3.8; 95% CI, 2.1-6.9; P < .00001), and diabetes (OR, 2.0; 95% CI, 1.7-2.3; P < .00001) were associated with significantly higher risk of death amongst patients with COVID-19. Those who died, compared with those who survived, differed on multiple biomarkers on admission including elevated levels of cardiac troponin (+44.2 ng/L, 95% CI, 19.0-69.4; P = .0006); C-reactive protein (+66.3 µg/mL, 95% CI, 46.7-85.9; P < .00001); interleukin-6 (+4.6 ng/mL, 95% CI, 3.6-5.6; P < .00001); D-dimer (+4.6 µg/mL, 95% CI, 2.8-6.4; P < .00001); creatinine (+15.3 µmol/L, 95% CI, 6.2-24.3; P = .001); and alanine transaminase (+5.7 U/L, 95% CI, 2.6-8.8; P = .0003); as well as decreased levels of albumin (-3.7 g/L, 95% CI, -5.3 to -2.1; P < .00001). Individuals with underlying cardiometabolic disease and that present with evidence for acute inflammation and end-organ damage are at higher risk of mortality due to COVID-19 infection and should be managed with greater intensity.
目前,全球范围内 2019 冠状病毒病(COVID-19)的死亡率仍在持续上升。关于 COVID-19 患者死亡的预测因素的信息仍然很少。在此,我们对 2020 年 1 月 1 日至 4 月 24 日期间发表的文章进行了系统回顾,以评估与 COVID-19 死亡率相关的危险因素。两名调查人员按照 PRISMA 指南独立搜索文章并收集数据。我们研究了死亡率与患者特征、合并症和实验室异常之间的关系。共有 14 项记录了 4659 名患者结局的研究被纳入。患有合并症(如高血压[比值比(OR),2.5;95%置信区间(CI),2.1-3.1;P < 0.00001]、冠心病(OR,3.8;95%CI,2.1-6.9;P < 0.00001])和糖尿病(OR,2.0;95%CI,1.7-2.3;P < 0.00001)与 COVID-19 患者的死亡风险显著增加相关。与存活者相比,死亡者在入院时的多个生物标志物上存在差异,包括肌钙蛋白升高(+44.2ng/L,95%CI,19.0-69.4;P = 0.0006);C 反应蛋白升高(+66.3μg/mL,95%CI,46.7-85.9;P < 0.00001);白细胞介素-6 升高(+4.6ng/mL,95%CI,3.6-5.6;P < 0.00001);D-二聚体升高(+4.6μg/mL,95%CI,2.8-6.4;P < 0.00001);肌酐升高(+15.3μmol/L,95%CI,6.2-24.3;P = 0.001);和丙氨酸氨基转移酶升高(+5.7U/L,95%CI,2.6-8.8;P = 0.0003);白蛋白水平降低(-3.7g/L,95%CI,-5.3 至-2.1;P < 0.00001)。患有潜在的心脏代谢疾病并表现出急性炎症和终末器官损伤证据的个体因 COVID-19 感染而死亡的风险更高,应加强管理。