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将美国 PM 汽车排放标准应用于其他国家的健康和经济后果:以法国和意大利为例的研究

Health and economic consequences of applying the United States' PM automobile emission standards to other nations: a case study of France and Italy.

机构信息

Department of Health Policy and Management, Columbia University Mailman School of Public Health, 772 West 168th Street, 10032 New York, New York, United States.

Ecole des Hautes Etudes en Sante Publique, 15 Avenue du Professeur Léon Bernard, 35043, Rennes, France.

出版信息

Public Health. 2020 Jun;183:81-87. doi: 10.1016/j.puhe.2020.04.024. Epub 2020 May 1.

Abstract

OBJECTIVES

The US has among the world's strictest automobile emission standards, but it is now loosening them. It is unclear where a nation should draw the line between the associated cost burden imposed by regulations and the broader societal benefits associated with having cleaner air. Our study examines the health benefits and cost-effectiveness of introducing stricter vehicle emission standards in France and Italy.

STUDY DESIGN

Quasi-experimental study.

METHODS

We used cost-effectiveness modeling to measure the incremental quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) and cost (Euros) of adopting more stringent US vehicle emission standards for PM in France and Italy.

RESULTS

Adopting Obama era US vehicle emission standards would likely save money and lives for both the French and Italian populations. In France, adopting US emission standards would save €1000 and increase QALYs by 0.04 per capita. In Italy, the stricter standards would save €3000 and increase QALYs by 0.31. The results remain robust in both the sensitivity analysis and probabilistic Monte Carlo simulation model.

CONCLUSIONS

Adopting more stringent emission standards in France and Italy would save money and lives.

摘要

目的

美国拥有世界上最严格的汽车排放标准,但现在正在放宽这些标准。目前还不清楚一个国家应该在哪里划定与法规相关的成本负担和拥有更清洁空气的更广泛社会效益之间的界限。我们的研究考察了在法国和意大利实施更严格车辆排放标准的健康效益和成本效益。

研究设计

准实验研究。

方法

我们使用成本效益建模来衡量法国和意大利采用更严格的美国车辆 PM 排放标准的增量质量调整生命年 (QALY) 和成本 (欧元)。

结果

对于法国和意大利的人口来说,采用奥巴马时代的美国车辆排放标准可能会节省资金和挽救生命。在法国,采用美国排放标准将节省 1000 欧元,并使人均 QALY 增加 0.04。在意大利,更严格的标准将节省 3000 欧元,并使 QALY 增加 0.31。在敏感性分析和概率蒙特卡罗模拟模型中,结果都是稳健的。

结论

在法国和意大利实施更严格的排放标准将节省资金和挽救生命。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/80f9/7252081/8f2d713ce975/gr1_lrg.jpg

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