Center for Infectious Disease Modeling and Analysis, Yale School of Public Health, New Haven, CT 06520.
The Biostatistics & Biomathematics Unit, The Gertner Institute for Epidemiology and Health Policy Research, Sheba Medical Center, Tel Hashomer, 52621 Ramat Gan, Israel.
Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. 2020 Jun 9;117(23):13138-13144. doi: 10.1073/pnas.1922746117. Epub 2020 May 26.
Regions with insufficient vaccination have hindered worldwide poliomyelitis eradication, as they are vulnerable to sporadic outbreaks through reintroduction of the disease. Despite Israel's having been declared polio-free in 1988, a routine sewage surveillance program detected polio in 2013. To curtail transmission, the Israel Ministry of Health launched a vaccine campaign to vaccinate children-who had only received the inactivated polio vaccine-with the oral polio vaccine (OPV). Determining the degree of prosocial motivation in vaccination behavior is challenging because vaccination typically provides direct benefits to the individual as well as indirect benefits to the community by curtailing transmission. However, the Israel OPV campaign provides a unique and excellent opportunity to quantify and model prosocial vaccination as its primary objective was to avert transmission. Using primary survey data and a game-theoretical model, we examine and quantify prosocial behavior during the OPV campaign. We found that the observed vaccination behavior in the Israeli OPV campaign is attributable to prosocial behavior and heterogeneous perceived risk of paralysis based on the individual's comprehension of the prosocial nature of the campaign. We also found that the benefit of increasing comprehension of the prosocial nature of the campaign would be limited if even 24% of the population acts primarily from self-interest, as greater vaccination coverage provides no personal utility to them. Our results suggest that to improve coverage, communication efforts should also focus on alleviating perceived fears surrounding the vaccine.
疫苗接种覆盖不足的地区阻碍了全球消灭脊髓灰质炎的工作,因为这些地区容易因疾病再次传入而发生散发性暴发。尽管以色列已于 1988 年宣布无脊髓灰质炎,但常规污水监测计划在 2013 年发现了脊髓灰质炎。为了遏制传播,以色列卫生部发起了一场疫苗接种运动,为仅接种过灭活脊髓灰质炎疫苗的儿童接种口服脊髓灰质炎疫苗(OPV)。确定疫苗接种行为中的亲社会动机程度具有挑战性,因为疫苗接种通常为个人提供直接利益,也通过遏制传播为社区提供间接利益。然而,以色列的 OPV 运动提供了一个独特而极好的机会来量化和模拟亲社会疫苗接种,因为其主要目标是避免传播。我们使用初步调查数据和博弈论模型,考察并量化了 OPV 运动期间的亲社会行为。我们发现,以色列 OPV 运动中的观察到的疫苗接种行为归因于亲社会行为和基于个体对运动的亲社会性的理解的不同瘫痪风险感知。我们还发现,如果即使 24%的人口主要出于自身利益行事,那么增加对运动亲社会性的理解的好处将是有限的,因为更高的疫苗接种覆盖率对他们没有个人效用。我们的研究结果表明,为了提高疫苗接种覆盖率,沟通工作还应重点关注减轻人们对疫苗的担忧。