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中性粒细胞与淋巴细胞比值作为 2019 冠状病毒病患者的预后和预测因素:一项回顾性横断面研究。

Neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio as prognostic and predictive factor in patients with coronavirus disease 2019: A retrospective cross-sectional study.

机构信息

Department of Cardiovascular Medicine, Wuhan Third Hospital & Tongren Hospital of Wuhan University, Wuhan, Hubei, China.

Department of Neurology, Wuhan Third Hospital & Tongren Hospital of Wuhan University, Wuhan, Hubei, China.

出版信息

J Med Virol. 2020 Nov;92(11):2573-2581. doi: 10.1002/jmv.26061. Epub 2020 Jun 9.

Abstract

This retrospective study was designed to explore whether neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio (NLR) is a prognostic factor in patients with coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19). A cohort of patients with COVID-19 admitted to the Tongren Hospital of Wuhan University from 11 January 2020 to 3 March 2020 was retrospectively analyzed. Patients with hematologic malignancy were excluded. The NLR was calculated by dividing the neutrophil count by the lymphocyte count. NLR values were measured at the time of admission. The primary outcome was all-cause in-hospital mortality. A multivariate logistic analysis was performed. A total of 1004 patients with COVID-19 were included in this study. The mortality rate was 4.0% (40 cases). The median age of nonsurvivors (68 years) was significantly older than survivors (62 years). Male sex was more predominant in nonsurvival group (27; 67.5%) than in the survival group (466; 48.3%). NLR value of nonsurvival group (median: 49.06; interquartile range [IQR]: 25.71-69.70) was higher than that of survival group (median: 4.11; IQR: 2.44-8.12; P < .001). In multivariate logistic regression analysis, after adjusting for confounding factors, NLR  more than 11.75 was significantly correlated with all-cause in-hospital mortality (odds ratio = 44.351; 95% confidence interval = 4.627-425.088). These results suggest that the NLR at hospital admission is associated with in-hospital mortality among patients with COVID-19. Therefore, the NLR appears to be a significant prognostic biomarker of outcomes in critically ill patients with COVID-19. However, further investigation is needed to validate this relationship with data collected prospectively.

摘要

本回顾性研究旨在探讨中性粒细胞与淋巴细胞比值(NLR)是否为 2019 年冠状病毒病(COVID-19)患者的预后因素。对 2020 年 1 月 11 日至 3 月 3 日期间入住武汉大学同仁医院的 COVID-19 患者进行回顾性队列分析。排除血液恶性肿瘤患者。NLR 通过中性粒细胞计数除以淋巴细胞计数计算。入院时测量 NLR 值。主要结局是全因住院死亡率。进行了多变量逻辑分析。本研究共纳入 1004 例 COVID-19 患者。死亡率为 4.0%(40 例)。死亡患者的中位年龄(68 岁)明显高于存活患者(62 岁)。死亡组男性(27 例,67.5%)多于存活组(466 例,48.3%)。死亡组的 NLR 值(中位数:49.06;四分位距[IQR]:25.71-69.70)高于存活组(中位数:4.11;IQR:2.44-8.12;P < .001)。在多变量逻辑回归分析中,调整混杂因素后,NLR 超过 11.75 与 COVID-19 患者全因住院死亡率显著相关(比值比=44.351;95%置信区间=4.627-425.088)。这些结果表明,入院时的 NLR 与 COVID-19 患者的住院死亡率相关。因此,NLR 似乎是 COVID-19 危重症患者结局的重要预后生物标志物。但是,需要进一步的前瞻性研究来验证这种关系。

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