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4
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Cross-Validation of a Glucose-Insulin-Glucagon Pharmacodynamics Model for Simulation Using Data From Patients With Type 1 Diabetes.使用1型糖尿病患者数据对用于模拟的葡萄糖-胰岛素-胰高血糖素药效学模型进行交叉验证
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估算危重症患者应激反应时的 EGP 增加量。

Estimating Increased EGP During Stress Response in Critically Ill Patients.

机构信息

Department of Mechanical Engineering, Centre for Bioengineering, University of Canterbury, Christchurch, New Zealand.

出版信息

J Diabetes Sci Technol. 2021 Jul;15(4):856-864. doi: 10.1177/1932296820922842. Epub 2020 Jun 1.

DOI:10.1177/1932296820922842
PMID:32476457
原文链接:https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC8258514/
Abstract

BACKGROUND

Stress-induced hyperglycemia is frequently experienced by critically ill patients and the use of glycemic control (GC) has been shown to improve patient outcomes. For model-based approaches to GC, it is important to understand and quantify model parameter assumptions. This study explores endogenous glucose production (EGP) and the use of a population-based parameter value in the intensive care unit context.

METHOD

Hourly insulin sensitivity (SI) was fit to clinical data from 145 patients on the Specialized Relative Insulin and Nutrition Titration GC protocol for at least 24 hours. Constraint of SI at a lower bound was used to explore likely EGP variability due to stress response. Minimum EGP was estimated during times when the model SI was constrained, and time and duration of events were examined.

RESULTS

Constrained events occur for 1.6% of patient hours. About 70% of constrained events occur in the first 12 hours and most events (~80%) occur when there is no exogenous nutrition given. Enhanced EGP values ranged from 1.16 mmol/min (current population value) to 2.75 mmol/min, with most being below 1.5 mmol/min (21% increase).

CONCLUSION

The frequency of constrained events is low and the current population value of 1.16 mmol/min is sufficient for more than 98% of patient hours, however, some patients experience significantly raised EGP probably due to an extreme stress response early in patient stay.

摘要

背景

危重症患者经常经历应激性高血糖,血糖控制(GC)的应用已被证明可以改善患者的预后。对于基于模型的 GC 方法,了解和量化模型参数假设非常重要。本研究探讨了内源性葡萄糖生成(EGP)和在重症监护病房环境中使用基于人群的参数值。

方法

根据至少 24 小时接受特殊相对胰岛素和营养滴定 GC 方案的 145 名患者的临床数据,拟合每小时胰岛素敏感性(SI)。使用 SI 的下限约束来探索应激反应引起的 EGP 变异性的可能性。在模型 SI 受到约束的情况下估计最小 EGP,并检查时间和事件的持续时间。

结果

约束事件占患者时间的 1.6%。大约 70%的约束事件发生在最初的 12 小时内,大多数事件(约 80%)发生在没有外源性营养的情况下。增强的 EGP 值范围从 1.16mmol/min(当前人群值)到 2.75mmol/min,大多数值低于 1.5mmol/min(增加 21%)。

结论

约束事件的频率较低,当前人群值 1.16mmol/min 对于超过 98%的患者时间是足够的,但是,一些患者经历了明显升高的 EGP,可能是由于患者入住早期的极端应激反应。