Paik James M, Golabi Pegah, Biswas Rakesh, Alqahtani Saleh, Venkatesan Chapy, Younossi Zobair M
Betty and Guy Beatty Center for Integrated Research Inova Health System Falls Church VA.
Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology The Johns Hopkins Hospital Baltimore MD.
Hepatol Commun. 2020 Apr 4;4(6):890-903. doi: 10.1002/hep4.1510. eCollection 2020 Jun.
In the United States, chronic viral hepatitis B and C (CHB and CHC), nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD), and alcohol-related liver disease (ALD) are the main causes of liver deaths attributable to hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) and cirrhosis. Our aim was to assess the changes in the rates of mortality and years of potential life lost (YLL) for HCC and cirrhosis due to different liver diseases. We used multiple-cause mortality data (2007-2017) from the National Center for Health Statistics. Annual percentage change (APC) in age-standardized death rate per 100,000 (ASDR) and age-standardized years of life lost per 100,000 (ASYLLR) were calculated. In the United States in 2017, there were 2,797,265 deaths with 73,424 liver deaths, contributing to 1,467,742 of YLL. Of the liver deaths, HCC was noted in 12,169 (16.6%) and cirrhosis in 60,111 (82.0%). CHC was responsible for 50.4% of HCC deaths; NAFLD, 35.4%; HBV, 6.0%; ALD, 5.4%; and others, 2.8%. NAFLD was responsible for 48.9% of cirrhosis deaths; ALD, 34.7%; CHC, 12.3%; CHB, 0.9%; and others, 3.2%. Between 2007 and 2017, the increase in ASDR for HCC due to ALD and NAFLD accelerated after 2014 (APC, 11.38% and 6.55%, respectively) whereas CHC stabilized (APC, 0.63%; = 0.272) after 2011. The increase in ASYLLR of HCC escalated after 2014 for ALD and NAFLD (APC, 12.12% and 6.15%, respectively) and leveled out for CHC after 2012 (APC, -1.05%; = 0.056). Furthermore, the highest annual increase in ASDR and ASYLLR for cirrhosis was due to ALD (APC, 3.24% and 3.34%, respectively) followed by NAFLD (APC, 1.23% and 0.49%, respectively). Over the past decade, ASDR and ASYLLR due to ALD and NAFLD have been increasing in the United States. The rising burden of HCC and cirrhosis are primarily driven by NAFLD and ALD.
在美国,慢性乙型和丙型病毒性肝炎(CHB和CHC)、非酒精性脂肪性肝病(NAFLD)以及酒精性肝病(ALD)是肝细胞癌(HCC)和肝硬化所致肝死亡的主要原因。我们的目的是评估不同肝病导致的HCC和肝硬化的死亡率及潜在寿命损失年数(YLL)的变化。我们使用了美国国家卫生统计中心的多病因死亡率数据(2007 - 2017年)。计算了每10万人的年龄标准化死亡率(ASDR)和每10万人的年龄标准化寿命损失年数(ASYLLR)的年度百分比变化(APC)。2017年在美国,共有2,797,265例死亡,其中73,424例为肝死亡,导致1,467,742个潜在寿命损失年。在肝死亡病例中,12,169例(16.6%)为HCC,60,111例(82.0%)为肝硬化。CHC导致了50.4%的HCC死亡;NAFLD占35.4%;HBV占6.0%;ALD占5.4%;其他占2.8%。NAFLD导致了48.9%的肝硬化死亡;ALD占34.7%;CHC占12.3%;CHB占0.9%;其他占3.2%。在2007年至2017年期间,2014年后ALD和NAFLD导致的HCC的ASDR增长加速(APC分别为11.38%和6.55%),而CHC在2011年后趋于稳定(APC为0.63%;P = 0.272)。2014年后ALD和NAFLD导致的HCC的ASYLLR增长加剧(APC分别为12.12%和6.15%),CHC在2012年后趋于平稳(APC为 -1.05%;P = 0.056)。此外,肝硬化的ASDR和ASYLLR年度增幅最高归因于ALD(APC分别为3.24%和3.34%),其次是NAFLD(APC分别为1.23%和0.49%)。在过去十年中,美国ALD和NAFLD导致的ASDR和ASYLLR一直在增加。HCC和肝硬化负担的上升主要由NAFLD和ALD驱动。