工作要求、工作控制与未来劳动力市场状况：对 220 万名员工的 11 年前瞻性研究。

Job Demands and Job Control and Future Labor Market Situation: An 11-year Prospective Study of 2.2 Million Employees.

机构信息

Division of Insurance Medicine, Department of Clinical Neuroscience, Karolinska Institutet, SE-17177 Stockholm, Sweden (Dr Farrants, Dr Norberg, Prof Alexanderson); National Research Centre for the Working Environment, Copenhagen, Denmark (Dr Framke, Prof Rugulies); Department of Public Health, University of Copenhagen, Denmark (Prof Rugulies) and Department of Psychology, University of Copenhagen, Denmark (Prof Rugulies).

出版信息

J Occup Environ Med. 2020 Jun;62(6):403-411. doi: 10.1097/JOM.0000000000001859.

DOI:10.1097/JOM.0000000000001859

PMID:32502083

Abstract

OBJECTIVES

Investigate prospective associations between combinations of job demands/job control and future labor market situation.

METHODS

A population-based prospective cohort study of 2,194,694 individuals in paid work. Using multinomial logistic regression, we calculated the association between combinations of job demands/control in 2001, according to a job exposure matrix, and their long-term unemployment, sickness absence/disability pension, early old-age pension, emigration, and death in 2012.

RESULTS

Low demands/low control at baseline was associated with long-term sickness absence/disability pension at follow-up among both women and men (odds ratios [ORs] 1.49; 95% confidence intervals [CIs] 1.46-1.53). High demands/low control at baseline was associated with a higher likelihood of old-age pension among women (OR 1.91; CI 1.82-2.00), and with a lower likelihood among men (OR 0.59; CI 0.53-0.66).

CONCLUSIONS

Combinations of job demands/job control in 2001 were associated with labor market situation in 2012.

摘要

目的

探讨工作要求/控制与未来劳动力市场状况之间的前瞻性关联。

方法

这是一项基于人群的前瞻性队列研究，共纳入 2194694 名有薪工作者。采用多项逻辑回归，我们根据职业暴露矩阵计算了 2001 年工作要求/控制的组合与 2012 年长期失业、病假/残疾养老金、提前领取养老金、移民和死亡之间的关联。

结果

在女性和男性中，基线时低要求/低控制与随访时的长期病假/残疾养老金有关（比值比 [OR] 1.49；95%置信区间 [CI] 1.46-1.53）。基线时高要求/低控制与女性领取养老金的可能性增加有关（OR 1.91；CI 1.82-2.00），而与男性领取养老金的可能性降低有关（OR 0.59；CI 0.53-0.66）。