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公共交通与老年人抑郁:基于代理的模型在免费公交政策潜在影响中的应用

Public transit and depression among older adults: using agent-based models to examine plausible impacts of a free bus policy.

机构信息

School of Public Health, University of Memphis, Memphis, Tennessee, USA

Department of Health Management and Policy, Dornsife School of Public Health, Drexel University, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, USA.

出版信息

J Epidemiol Community Health. 2020 Nov;74(11):875-881. doi: 10.1136/jech-2019-213317. Epub 2020 Jun 13.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

Daily transport is associated with mental health. A free bus policy (FBP) may be effective in promoting the use of public transit in older adults and be associated with reductions in depressive symptoms.

METHODS

We developed an agent-based model and grounded it using empirical data from England to examine the impact of an FBP on public transit use and depression among older adults. We also used the model to explore whether the impact of the FBP bus use and depression is modified by the type of income segregation or by simultaneous efforts to improve attitudes towards the bus, to reduce waiting times or to increase the cost of driving via parking fees or fuel price.

RESULTS

Our model suggests that improving attitudes towards the bus (eg, campaigns that promote bus use) could enhance the effect of the FBP, especially for those in proximity to public transit. Reducing wait times could also significantly magnify FPB impacts, especially in those who live in proximity to public transit. Contrary to expectation, neither fuel costs nor parking fees significantly enhanced the impact of the FBP. The impact of improving attitudes towards the bus and increasing bus frequency was more pronounced in the lower-income groups in an income segregation scenario in which destination and public transit are denser in the city centre.

CONCLUSION

Our results suggest that the beneficial mental health effects of an FBP for older adults can be magnified when combined with initiatives that reduce bus waiting times and increased spatial access to transit.

摘要

背景

日常交通与心理健康有关。免费公交政策(FBP)可能会有效地促进老年人使用公共交通,并可能减少抑郁症状。

方法

我们开发了一个基于代理的模型,并使用来自英国的经验数据对其进行了验证,以研究 FBP 对老年人公共交通使用和抑郁的影响。我们还使用该模型来探讨 FBP 对公共交通使用和抑郁的影响是否会因收入隔离的类型或同时改善对公共汽车的态度、减少等待时间或通过停车费或燃料价格增加驾驶成本的努力而发生改变。

结果

我们的模型表明,改善对公共汽车的态度(例如,促进公共汽车使用的宣传活动)可以增强 FBP 的效果,尤其是对那些接近公共交通的人。减少等待时间也可以显著放大 FBP 的影响,尤其是对那些居住在接近公共交通的人。与预期相反,燃料成本和停车费都没有显著增强 FBP 的影响。在收入隔离的情况下,改善对公共汽车的态度和增加公共汽车频率的影响在收入较低的群体中更为明显,在这种情况下,目的地和公共交通在市中心更为密集。

结论

我们的研究结果表明,当 FBP 与减少公共汽车等待时间和增加交通空间可达性的举措相结合时,它对老年人的心理健康可能会产生更大的有益影响。

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