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欧洲老年人的居住安排与火灾相关死亡率。

Living arrangements and fire-related mortality amongst older people in Europe.

机构信息

Department of Political, Historical, Religious and Cultural Studies, Karlstad University, Karlstad, Sweden.

Centre for Societal Risk Research, Karlstad University, Karlstad, Sweden.

出版信息

Int J Inj Contr Saf Promot. 2020 Sep;27(3):378-384. doi: 10.1080/17457300.2020.1780454. Epub 2020 Jun 15.

Abstract

In Europe, a demographic transition has occurred meaning that countries have larger older adult populations who are increasingly living alone and receiving homecare rather than institutional care. Given that living alone is the greatest individual risk factor for fire mortality amongst older adults and that large differences exist in terms of both fire mortality risk and living arrangements between countries, this study investigates the association between co-living rates and fire mortality rates among older adults in Europe. Freely available datasets with aggregated European data on fire mortality, living arrangements among older adults, population statistics and GDP were analyzed using Poisson regression models. The results show that fire-related mortality rates amongst older adults in Europe is correlated with living arrangements after adjusting for GDP. Specifically, in Europe, when the share of older adults living alone increases by one percentage point, fire mortality rates increase by roughly 4 percent for both sexes.

摘要

在欧洲,人口结构发生了转变,这意味着各国的老年人口数量增加,他们越来越多地独自生活,并接受家庭护理,而不是机构护理。鉴于独居是老年人火灾死亡率的最大个体风险因素,而且各国之间在火灾死亡率风险和居住安排方面存在很大差异,本研究调查了欧洲老年人的共同居住率与火灾死亡率之间的关系。使用泊松回归模型分析了具有欧洲火灾死亡率、老年人居住安排、人口统计和 GDP 汇总数据的免费可用数据集。结果表明,在调整 GDP 后,欧洲老年人的火灾相关死亡率与居住安排有关。具体而言,在欧洲,当独自生活的老年人口比例增加一个百分点时,两性的火灾死亡率大约会增加 4%。

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