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Five ways to ensure that models serve society: a manifesto.

作者信息

Saltelli Andrea, Bammer Gabriele, Bruno Isabelle, Charters Erica, Di Fiore Monica, Didier Emmanuel, Nelson Espeland Wendy, Kay John, Lo Piano Samuele, Mayo Deborah, Pielke Roger, Portaluri Tommaso, Porter Theodore M, Puy Arnald, Rafols Ismael, Ravetz Jerome R, Reinert Erik, Sarewitz Daniel, Stark Philip B, Stirling Andrew, van der Sluijs Jeroen, Vineis Paolo

出版信息

Nature. 2020 Jun;582(7813):482-484. doi: 10.1038/d41586-020-01812-9.

DOI:10.1038/d41586-020-01812-9
PMID:32581374
Abstract
摘要

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Modelling for policy: The five principles of the Neglected Tropical Diseases Modelling Consortium.政策建模:被忽视热带病建模联盟的五项原则
PLoS Negl Trop Dis. 2020 Apr 9;14(4):e0008033. doi: 10.1371/journal.pntd.0008033. eCollection 2020 Apr.
Int J Popul Data Sci. 2025 May 7;10(1):2703. doi: 10.23889/ijpds.v10i1.2703. eCollection 2025.
4
Socio-environmental modeling shows physics-like confidence with water modeling surpassing it in numerical claims.社会环境建模在数值声称方面显示出类似物理学的置信度,其中水模型的置信度超过了它。
iScience. 2025 Mar 13;28(4):112184. doi: 10.1016/j.isci.2025.112184. eCollection 2025 Apr 18.
5
Global sensitivity analysis of integrated assessment models with multivariate outputs.具有多变量输出的综合评估模型的全局敏感性分析。
Risk Anal. 2025 Aug;45(8):2132-2156. doi: 10.1111/risa.70002. Epub 2025 Feb 22.
6
An integrated approach to uncertainty and global sensitivity analysis in penstock structural modeling.压力管道结构建模中不确定性与全局敏感性分析的综合方法。
Heliyon. 2024 Dec 12;11(1):e41049. doi: 10.1016/j.heliyon.2024.e41049. eCollection 2025 Jan 15.
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COVID-19 among migrants, refugees, and internally displaced persons: systematic review, meta-analysis and qualitative synthesis of the global empirical literature.移民、难民和境内流离失所者中的2019冠状病毒病:全球实证文献的系统评价、荟萃分析和定性综合
EClinicalMedicine. 2024 Jul 10;74:102698. doi: 10.1016/j.eclinm.2024.102698. eCollection 2024 Aug.
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Quantifying regulatory limits for multiple stressors in an open and transparent way.以公开透明的方式量化多种压力源的监管限制。
Conserv Biol. 2025 Apr;39(2):e14375. doi: 10.1111/cobi.14375. Epub 2024 Sep 3.
9
Inference on spatiotemporal dynamics for coupled biological populations.对耦合生物群体时空动态的推断。
J R Soc Interface. 2024 Jul;21(216):20240217. doi: 10.1098/rsif.2024.0217. Epub 2024 Jul 10.
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Empirical validation of integrated stock assessment models to ensuring risk equivalence: A pathway to resilient fisheries management.实证验证综合评估模型以确保风险等效:实现有弹性渔业管理的途径。
PLoS One. 2024 Jul 2;19(7):e0302576. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0302576. eCollection 2024.