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用于监测波斯尼亚和黑塞哥维那预防新冠病毒传播控制措施的时空数据可视化

Spatio-temporal data visualization for monitoring of control measures in the prevention of the spread of COVID-19 in Bosnia and Herzegovina.

作者信息

Ponjavić Mirza, Karabegović Almir, Ferhatbegović Elvir, Tahirović Emin, Uzunović Selma, Travar Maja, Pilav Aida, Mulić Maida, Karakaš Sead, Avdić Nermin, Mulabdić Zarina, Pavić Goran, Bičo Medina, Vasilj Ivan, Mamić Diana, Hukić Mirsada

机构信息

International Burch University, Sarajevo, Bosnia and Herzegovina.

Electrical Engineering Faculty, University of Sarajevo, Sarajevo, Bosnia and Herzegovina.

出版信息

Med Glas (Zenica). 2020 Aug 1;17(2):265-274. doi: 10.17392/1215-20.

Abstract

Aim The damage caused by the COVID-19 pandemic has made the prevention of its further spread at the top of the list of priorities of many governments and state institutions responsible for health and civil protection around the world. This prevention implies an effective system of epidemiological surveillance and the application of timely and effective control measures. This research focuses on the application of techniques for modelling and geovisualization of epidemic data with the aim of simple and fast communication of analytical results via geoportal. Methods The paper describes the approach applied through the project of establishing the epidemiological location-intelligence system for monitoring the effectiveness of control measures in preventing the spread of COVID-19 in Bosnia and Herzegovina. Results Epidemic data were processed and the results related to spatio-temporal analysis of the infection spread were presented by compartmental epidemic model, reproduction number R, epi-curve diagrams as well as choropleth maps for different levels of administrative units. Geovisualization of epidemic data enabled the release of numerous information from described models and indicators, providing easier visual communication of the spread of the disease and better recognition of its trend. Conclusion The approach involves the simultaneous application of epidemic models and epidemic data geovisualization, which allows a simple and rapid evaluation of the epidemic situation and the effects of control measures. This contributes to more informative decision-making related to control measures by suggesting their selective application at the local level.

摘要

目标 新冠疫情造成的破坏使防止其进一步传播成为世界上许多负责卫生和公民保护的政府及国家机构的首要优先事项。这种预防意味着要有一个有效的流行病学监测系统,并实施及时有效的控制措施。本研究着重于疫情数据建模和地理可视化技术的应用,目的是通过地理门户简单快速地传达分析结果。方法 本文描述了通过建立流行病学位置情报系统项目所采用的方法,该系统用于监测波斯尼亚和黑塞哥维那防控新冠疫情传播的控制措施的有效性。结果 对疫情数据进行了处理,并通过分区疫情模型、再生数R、疫情曲线图表以及不同行政单位级别的分级统计图展示了与感染传播时空分析相关的结果。疫情数据的地理可视化能够从所述模型和指标中发布大量信息,使疾病传播的视觉传达更加容易,也能更好地识别其趋势。结论 该方法涉及同时应用疫情模型和疫情数据地理可视化,这使得能够对疫情形势和控制措施的效果进行简单快速的评估。这有助于通过建议在地方层面选择性应用控制措施,做出更具信息性的与控制措施相关的决策。

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