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慢性肾脏病患者多病共存与不良临床结局的关联:系统评价和荟萃分析。

Associations between multimorbidity and adverse clinical outcomes in patients with chronic kidney disease: a systematic review and meta-analysis.

机构信息

Institute of Cardiovascular and Medical Sciences, University of Glasgow, Glasgow, UK

Institute of Cardiovascular and Medical Sciences, University of Glasgow, Glasgow, UK.

出版信息

BMJ Open. 2020 Jun 30;10(6):e038401. doi: 10.1136/bmjopen-2020-038401.

Abstract

OBJECTIVE

To systematically review the literature exploring the associations between multimorbidity (the presence of two or more long-term conditions (LTCs)) and adverse clinical outcomes in patients with chronic kidney disease (CKD).

DESIGN

Systematic review and meta-analysis.

DATA SOURCES

MEDLINE, EMBASE, CINAHL, Cochrane Library and SCOPUS (1946-2019). The main search terms were 'Chronic Kidney Failure' and 'Multimorbid*'.

ELIGIBILITY CRITERIA

Observational studies of adults over the age of 18 with CKD stages 3-5, that is, estimated glomerular filtration rate less than 60 mL/min/1.73 m. The exposure was multimorbidity quantified by measures and the outcomes were all-cause mortality, renal progression, hospitalisation and cardiovascular events. We did not consider CKD as a comorbid LTC.

DATA EXTRACTION AND SYNTHESIS

Newcastle-Ottawa Scale for quality appraisal and risk of bias assessment and fixed effects meta-analysis for data synthesis.

RESULTS

Of 1852 papers identified, 26 met the inclusion criteria. 21 papers involved patients with advanced CKD and no studies were from low or middle-income countries. All-cause mortality was an outcome in all studies. Patients with multimorbidity were at higher risk of mortality compared with patients without multimorbidity (total risk ratio 2.28 (95% CI 1.81 to 2.88)). The risk of mortality was higher with increasing multimorbidity (total HR 1.31 (95% CI 1.27 to 1.36)) and both concordant and discordant LTCs were associated with heightened risk. Multimorbidity was associated with renal progression in four studies, hospitalisation in five studies and cardiovascular events in two studies.

LIMITATIONS

Meta-analysis could only include 10 of 26 papers as the methodologies of studies were heterogeneous.

CONCLUSIONS

There are associations between multimorbidity and adverse clinical outcomes in patients with CKD. However, most data relate to mortality risk in patients with advanced CKD. There is limited evidence regarding patients with mild to moderate CKD, outcomes such as cardiovascular events, types of LTCs and regarding patients from low or middle-income countries.

PROSPERO REGISTRATION NUMBER

CRD42019147424.

摘要

目的

系统综述文献,探讨患有慢性肾脏病(CKD)的患者合并多种疾病(存在两种或两种以上的长期疾病(LTCs))与不良临床结局之间的关系。

设计

系统综述和荟萃分析。

资料来源

MEDLINE、EMBASE、CINAHL、 Cochrane 图书馆和 SCOPUS(1946-2019 年)。主要检索词为“慢性肾衰竭”和“多病态*”。

纳入标准

观察性研究,纳入年龄大于 18 岁且 CKD 分期为 3-5 期的成年人,即估算肾小球滤过率(eGFR)小于 60 ml/min/1.73 m。暴露因素为通过测量确定的多种合并症,结局为全因死亡率、肾脏进展、住院和心血管事件。我们未将 CKD 视为合并的 LTC。

资料提取与合成

采用 Newcastle-Ottawa 量表进行质量评估和偏倚风险评估,采用固定效应荟萃分析进行数据合成。

结果

在 1852 篇论文中,有 26 篇符合纳入标准。21 篇研究涉及晚期 CKD 患者,且没有研究来自中低收入国家。所有研究均报告了全因死亡率。与无多种合并症的患者相比,患有多种合并症的患者死亡风险更高(总风险比 2.28(95%CI 1.81 至 2.88))。随着多种合并症的增加,死亡率风险也会增加(总 HR 1.31(95%CI 1.27 至 1.36)),且一致和不一致的 LTC 均与风险增加相关。有 4 项研究表明多种合并症与肾脏进展相关,5 项研究表明与住院相关,2 项研究表明与心血管事件相关。

局限性

由于研究方法存在异质性,荟萃分析仅纳入了 26 篇论文中的 10 篇。

结论

患有 CKD 的患者合并多种疾病与不良临床结局之间存在关联。然而,大多数数据与晚期 CKD 患者的死亡风险相关。关于轻度至中度 CKD 患者、心血管事件等结局、以及来自中低收入国家的患者,证据有限。

PROSPERO 注册号:CRD42019147424。

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