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脑钠肽(BNP)对心脏手术患者风险评估的影响,除了 EuroScore II 以外。

Effect of BNP on risk assessment in cardiac surgery patients, in addition to EuroScore II.

机构信息

Centre Médico-Chirurgical Ambroise Paré, Critical Care Medicine Department, Recherche & Innovation de La Clinique Ambroise Paré (RICAP), 25 Boulevard Victor Hugo, 92200, Neuilly-sur-Seine, France.

出版信息

Sci Rep. 2020 Jul 2;10(1):10865. doi: 10.1038/s41598-020-67607-0.

Abstract

Patients' prognostication around cardiac surgery is key to better assess risk-benefit balance. Preoperative brain natriuretic peptide (BNP) biomarker has been associated with mortality after cardiac surgery, but its added value with EuroScore 2 remains to be confirmed. In a prospective registry cohort of 4,980 patients undergoing cardiac surgery, the prognostic performance of EuroScore 2 and preoperative BNP was assessed regarding postoperative in-hospital mortality. Discrimination feature was evaluated using receiver-operator-characteristics analysis with area under curve (AUROC). Calibration feature was assessed using Hosmer-Lemeshow test. Multivariable analysis was performed to assess the association between covariates and in-hospital mortality. In-hospital mortality was 3.7%. The AUROC of EuroScore 2 was 0.82 (95% confidence interval (95%CI) 0.79-0.85, p < 0.0001). The AUROC of BNP was 0.66 (95%CI 0.62-0.70, p < 0.0001). The combined model with an AUROC of 0.67 (95%CI 0.63-0.71, p = 0.0001) did not yield better AUROC than EuroScore 2 alone (p < 0.0001 in disfavor of the combined model), nor BNP alone (p = 0.79). In multivariable analysis, EuroScore 2 remained independently associated with mortality (adj.OR of 1.12 (1.10-1.14), p < 0.0001), but BNP was not. Preoperative BNP was not an independent risk factor of postoperative mortality and did not add prognostic information, as compared to EuroScore 2 alone.Clinical trial registry Registry for the Improvement of Postoperative OutcomeS in Cardiac and Thoracic surgEry (RIPOSTE) database (NCT03209674).

摘要

患者在心脏手术前的预后评估对于更好地评估风险-获益平衡至关重要。术前脑钠肽(BNP)生物标志物与心脏手术后的死亡率有关,但与 EuroScore 2 的附加价值仍有待证实。在一项接受心脏手术的 4980 例患者的前瞻性登记队列中,评估了 EuroScore 2 和术前 BNP 对术后住院死亡率的预后表现。使用接收者操作特征分析(ROC 分析)评估了区分特征,并用曲线下面积(AUC)表示。使用 Hosmer-Lemeshow 检验评估了校准特征。进行多变量分析以评估协变量与住院死亡率之间的关系。住院死亡率为 3.7%。EuroScore 2 的 AUC 为 0.82(95%置信区间(95%CI)0.79-0.85,p<0.0001)。BNP 的 AUC 为 0.66(95%CI 0.62-0.70,p<0.0001)。联合模型的 AUC 为 0.67(95%CI 0.63-0.71,p=0.0001),但 AUC 并未优于单独的 EuroScore 2(p<0.0001,联合模型不利),也未优于单独的 BNP(p=0.79)。多变量分析表明,EuroScore 2 与死亡率独立相关(调整后的比值比为 1.12(1.10-1.14),p<0.0001),但 BNP 则不然。与单独的 EuroScore 2 相比,术前 BNP 不是术后死亡率的独立危险因素,也没有提供额外的预后信息。临床实验注册号改善心脏和胸外科手术后结局的研究(RIPOSTE)数据库(NCT03209674)。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/98af/7331739/4b5a2e101a1b/41598_2020_67607_Fig1_HTML.jpg

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