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产业结构、城市治理与霾污染:来自中国的时空证据。

Industrial structure, urban governance and haze pollution: Spatiotemporal evidence from China.

机构信息

Economics Institute, Henan Academy of Social Science, Zhengzhou 450002, PR China; School of Economics Teaching & Research, Party School of the Central Committee of C.P.C. (Chinese Academy of Governance), Beijing 100091, PR China.

School of Public Administration, Central China Normal University, Wuhan 430079, PR China.

出版信息

Sci Total Environ. 2020 Nov 10;742:139228. doi: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2020.139228. Epub 2020 May 11.

DOI:10.1016/j.scitotenv.2020.139228
PMID:32623152
Abstract

As a negative external product of China's rapid development, haze pollution has seriously affected the quality of economic development and people's quality of life. This paper firstly explores the important reasons for the uncoordinated industrial structure caused by haze pollution, and puts forward the purpose of promoting the adjustment of industrial structure through urban governance in order to tackle with the urgent problem of haze pollution. Using panel data from 287 cities in China, this paper analyzes the relationship among industrial structure, urban governance and haze pollution using the Geographically and Temporally Weighted Regression (GTWR) model. The innovations are: (1) this paper focuses on the topic of industrial structure, urban governance and haze pollution simultaneously. (2) this paper uses the method of GTWR to comprehensively consider the spatial and temporal tendency at the same time. (3) Conclusions are helpful to provide targeted policy recommendations. And the results show that: (1) the spatial clustering characteristics of haze pollution are very prominent, and have been suppressed to a certain extent under the measures of urban governance; (2) the spatial and temporal differences of industrial structure on haze pollution are large; (3) corporate governance plays an important role in slowing down haze pollution; (4) in public governance, the green coverage rate of built-up areas, the innocuous disposal rate of domestic garbage and the increase of public transport will have a negative impact on haze pollution, while highly concentrated urban population, high level of economic development, large number of industrial enterprises above designated size, and increased thermal power generation capacity will increase the degree of haze pollution; (5) cities with steadily decreasing of the proportion of the secondary industry, the proportion of the tertiary industry, the comprehensive treatment rate of industrial solid materials, the green coverage rate of the built-up area and the industrial enterprises above designated size are mainly lie in southeastern China, respectively; and cities with decline in innocuous disposal rate of domestic garbage are concentrated in the western region, while cities with significant changes of the number of buses per unit are mainly distributed in the northeastern region, the other variables are not obvious.

摘要

作为中国快速发展的一个负面外部产品,雾霾污染严重影响了经济发展的质量和人民生活的质量。本文首先探讨了雾霾污染导致产业结构不协调的重要原因,并提出了通过城市治理来促进产业结构调整的目的,以应对雾霾污染这一紧迫问题。本文利用中国 287 个城市的面板数据,采用时空加权回归(GTWR)模型分析了产业结构、城市治理与雾霾污染之间的关系。本文的创新点在于:(1)同时关注产业结构、城市治理和雾霾污染这三个主题;(2)采用 GTWR 方法同时综合考虑空间和时间趋势;(3)研究结论有助于提供有针对性的政策建议。研究结果表明:(1)雾霾污染的空间集聚特征非常明显,在城市治理措施的作用下,其空间集聚特征已得到一定程度的抑制;(2)产业结构对雾霾污染的时空差异较大;(3)公司治理在减缓雾霾污染方面发挥了重要作用;(4)在公共治理方面,建成区绿化覆盖率、生活垃圾无害化处理率和公共交通的增加对雾霾污染有负面影响,而人口高度集中、经济发展水平高、规模以上工业企业数量多、火力发电能力增加会加剧雾霾污染;(5)第二产业比重、第三产业比重、工业固体废物综合处理率、建成区绿化覆盖率和规模以上工业企业数量稳步下降的城市主要集中在东南地区,而生活垃圾无害化处理率下降的城市主要集中在西部地区,公交车单位数量变化显著的城市主要分布在东北地区,其他变量则不明显。

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