Research Institute of Psychological Sciences, UCLouvain.
Department of Psychology, University of Cologne.
Perspect Psychol Sci. 2020 Sep;15(5):1228-1242. doi: 10.1177/1745691620921525. Epub 2020 Jul 7.
Over the past two decades, research about the role of oxytocin (OT) in human behavior has grown exponentially. However, a unified theory of OT effects has yet to be developed. Relatedly, growing concerns about the robustness of conclusions drawn in the field have been raised. The current article contributes to this debate by reporting on and discussing key conclusions from a systematic review of published studies addressing the interactive effects of intranasal OT (IN-OT) administration on psychosocial outcomes in a healthy population. The review indicates that (a) tested interactive IN-OT effects were highly heterogeneous; (b) for most published interactions, no replication was attempted; (c) when attempted, replications were largely unsuccessful; (d) significance was unrelated to sample size; (e) statistical power was critically low and unrelated to the rate of significant results; and (f) research practices were characteristic of an exploratory approach. This concerning state of affairs makes it virtually impossible to tease apart true from false interactive IN-OT effects. We provide constructive directions on the basis of this observation and positive predictive value simulations for future research that should help extract true effects from noise and move the IN-OT field forward.
在过去的二十年中,关于催产素(OT)在人类行为中的作用的研究呈指数级增长。然而,尚未形成关于 OT 效应的统一理论。相关地,人们对该领域得出的结论的稳健性越来越关注。本文通过报告和讨论一项关于鼻内催产素(IN-OT)给药对健康人群的心理社会结果的相互作用的已发表研究的系统评价的关键结论,为这一争论做出了贡献。该评论表明:(a)测试的相互作用 IN-OT 效应高度异质;(b)对于大多数已发表的相互作用,没有尝试复制;(c)当尝试时,复制在很大程度上是不成功的;(d)显著性与样本量无关;(e)统计能力极低,与显著结果的比率无关;(f)研究实践是探索性方法的特征。这种令人担忧的情况使得几乎不可能从真实的相互作用 IN-OT 效应中分辨出虚假的效应。我们根据这一观察结果提供了建设性的方向,并对未来的研究进行了阳性预测值模拟,这应该有助于从噪声中提取真实的效应,并推动 IN-OT 领域的发展。