Department of Orthopaedics, Vancouver Spine Surgery Institute, Faculty of Medicine, University of British Columbia, Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada.
Praxis Spinal Cord Institute, Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada.
J Neurotrauma. 2020 Nov 1;37(21):2332-2342. doi: 10.1089/neu.2019.6912. Epub 2020 Aug 26.
As the incidence of traumatic spinal cord injury (tSCI) in the elderly rises, clinicians are increasingly faced with difficult discussions regarding aggressiveness of management, likelihood of recovery, and survival. Our objective was to outline risk factors associated with in-hospital mortality in elderly surgical and non-surgical patients following tSCI and to determine those unlikely to have a favorable outcome. Data from elderly patients (≥ 65 years of age) in the Canadian Rick Hansen SCI Registry from 2004 to 2017 were analyzed using descriptive analysis. Survival and mortality groups in each of the surgical and non-surgical group were compared to explore factors associated with in-hospital mortality and their impact, using logistical regression. Of 1340 elderly patients, 1018 had surgical data with 826 having had surgery. In the surgical group, the median time to death post-injury was 30 days with 75% dying within 50 days compared with 7 days and 20 days, respectively, in the non-surgical group. Significant predictors for in-hospital mortality following surgery are age, comorbidities, neurological injury severity (American Spinal Injury Association [ASIA] Impairment Scale [AIS]), and ventilation status. The odds of dying 50 days post-surgery are six times higher for patients ≥77 years of age versus those 65-76 years of age, five times higher for those with AIS A versus those with AIS B/C/D, and seven times higher for those who are ventilator dependent. An expected probability of dying within 50 days post-surgery was determined using these results. In-hospital mortality in the elderly after tSCI is high. The trend with age and time to death and the significant predictors of mortality identified in this study can be used to inform clinical decision making and discussions with patients and their families.
随着老年创伤性脊髓损伤(tSCI)发病率的上升,临床医生越来越多地面临关于管理积极性、恢复可能性和生存的艰难讨论。我们的目的是概述与 tSCI 后老年手术和非手术患者住院死亡率相关的风险因素,并确定那些不太可能有良好预后的患者。对 2004 年至 2017 年期间加拿大 Rick Hansen SCI 登记处老年患者(≥65 岁)的数据进行了描述性分析。使用逻辑回归比较了手术和非手术组中每个生存和死亡组的差异,以探讨与住院死亡率相关的因素及其影响。在 1340 名老年患者中,1018 名患者有手术数据,其中 826 名患者接受了手术。在手术组中,受伤后死亡的中位时间为 30 天,75%的患者在 50 天内死亡,而非手术组分别为 7 天和 20 天。手术后住院死亡率的显著预测因素是年龄、合并症、神经损伤严重程度(美国脊髓损伤协会[ASIA]损伤量表[AIS])和通气状态。与 65-76 岁患者相比,年龄≥77 岁的患者手术后 50 天死亡的几率高 6 倍,AIS A 的患者比 AIS B/C/D 的患者高 5 倍,需要呼吸机支持的患者高 7 倍。使用这些结果确定了手术后 50 天内死亡的预期概率。tSCI 后老年患者的住院死亡率很高。本研究中确定的年龄和死亡时间趋势以及死亡率的显著预测因素可用于为临床决策提供信息,并与患者及其家属进行讨论。