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巴西南部针对 SARS-CoV-2 抗体的基于人群的调查。

Population-based surveys of antibodies against SARS-CoV-2 in Southern Brazil.

机构信息

Universidade Federal de Pelotas, Pelotas, Brazil.

Fundação Universidade Federal de Ciências de Saúde de Porto Alegre, Porto Alegre, Brazil.

出版信息

Nat Med. 2020 Aug;26(8):1196-1199. doi: 10.1038/s41591-020-0992-3. Epub 2020 Jul 8.

DOI:10.1038/s41591-020-0992-3
PMID:32641783
Abstract

Population-based data on COVID-19 are urgently needed. We report on three rounds of probability sample household surveys in the state of Rio Grande do Sul (Brazil), carried out in nine large municipalities using the Wondfo lateral flow point-of-care test for immunoglobulin M and G antibodies against SARS-CoV-2 (https://en.wondfo.com.cn/product/wondfo-sars-cov-2-antibody-test-lateral-flow-method-2/). Before survey use, the assay underwent four validation studies with pooled estimates of sensitivity (84.8%; 95% confidence interval (CI) = 81.4-87.8%) and specificity (99.0%; 95% CI = 97.8-99.7%). We calculated that the seroprevalence was 0.048% (2/4,151; 95% CI = 0.006-0.174) on 11-13 April (round 1), 0.135% (6/4,460; 95% CI = 0.049-0.293%) on 25-27 April (round 2) and 0.222% (10/4,500; 95% CI = 0.107-0.408) on 9-11 May (round 3), with a significant upward trend over the course of the surveys. Of 37 family members of positive individuals, 17 (35%) were also positive. The epidemic is at an early stage in the state, and there is high compliance with social distancing, unlike in other parts of Brazil. Periodic survey rounds will continue to monitor trends until at least the end of September, and our population-based data will inform decisions on preventive policies and health system preparedness at the state level.

摘要

目前急需有关 COVID-19 的基于人群的数据。我们报告了在巴西南里奥格兰德州(巴西)进行的三轮概率抽样家庭调查,该调查在九个大城市使用万孚侧向流动即时检测点用于 SARS-CoV-2 的免疫球蛋白 M 和 G 抗体(https://en.wondfo.com.cn/product/wondfo-sars-cov-2-antibody-test-lateral-flow-method-2/)。在调查使用之前,该检测方法经过了四项验证研究,合并敏感性估计值为 84.8%(95%置信区间(CI)=81.4-87.8%)和特异性 99.0%(95%CI=97.8-99.7%)。我们计算得出,4 月 11 日至 13 日(第 1 轮)的血清流行率为 0.048%(2/4151;95%CI=0.006-0.174%),4 月 25 日至 27 日(第 2 轮)为 0.135%(6/4460;95%CI=0.049-0.293%),5 月 9 日至 11 日(第 3 轮)为 0.222%(10/4500;95%CI=0.107-0.408%),调查过程中呈明显上升趋势。在 37 名阳性个体的家庭成员中,有 17 人(35%)也呈阳性。该州的疫情处于早期阶段,与巴西其他地区不同,人们高度遵守社会隔离。定期调查将继续监测趋势,直到至少 9 月底,我们的基于人群的数据将为州一级的预防政策和卫生系统准备情况提供决策依据。

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