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新型冠状病毒肺炎的流行病学、合并症因素与严重程度及预后:一项系统综述和荟萃分析

Epidemiological, comorbidity factors with severity and prognosis of COVID-19: a systematic review and meta-analysis.

作者信息

Fang Xiaoyu, Li Shen, Yu Hao, Wang Penghao, Zhang Yao, Chen Zheng, Li Yang, Cheng Liqing, Li Wenbin, Jia Hong, Ma Xiangyu

机构信息

College of Public Health, Southwest Medical University, Luzhou, Sichuan Province, China.

Department of Epidemiology, College of Preventive Medicine, Third Military Medical University, Chongqing, China.

出版信息

Aging (Albany NY). 2020 Jul 13;12(13):12493-12503. doi: 10.18632/aging.103579.

Abstract

A systematic review and meta-analysis was conducted in an attempt to systematically collect and evaluate the associations of epidemiological, comorbidity factors with the severity and prognosis of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19). The systematic review and meta-analysis was conducted according to the guidelines proposed by the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses (PRISMA). Sixty nine publications met our study criteria, and 61 studies with more than 10,000 COVID-19 cases were eligible for the quantitative synthesis. We found that the males had significantly higher disease severity (RR: 1.20, 95% CI: 1.13-1.27, P <0.001) and more prognostic endpoints. Older age was found to be significantly associated with the disease severity and six prognostic endpoints. Chronic kidney disease contributed mostly for death (RR: 7.10, 95% CI: 3.14-16.02), chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) for disease severity (RR: 4.20, 95% CI: 2.82-6.25), admission to intensive care unit (ICU) (RR: 5.61, 95% CI: 2.68-11.76), the composite endpoint (RR: 8.52, 95% CI: 4.36-16.65,), invasive ventilation (RR: 6.53, 95% CI: 2.70-15.84), and disease progression (RR: 7.48, 95% CI: 1.60-35.05), cerebrovascular disease for acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS) (RR: 3.15, 95% CI: 1.23-8.04), coronary heart disease for cardiac abnormality (RR: 5.37, 95% CI: 1.74-16.54). Our study highlighted that the male gender, older age and comorbidities owned strong epidemiological evidence of associations with the severity and prognosis of COVID-19.

摘要

进行了一项系统评价和荟萃分析,旨在系统地收集和评估2019冠状病毒病(COVID-19)的流行病学、合并症因素与严重程度及预后之间的关联。该系统评价和荟萃分析是根据系统评价和荟萃分析优先报告项目(PRISMA)提出的指南进行的。69篇出版物符合我们的研究标准,61项涉及10000多例COVID-19病例的研究符合定量综合分析的条件。我们发现,男性的疾病严重程度显著更高(RR:1.20,95%CI:1.13-1.27,P<0.001),且有更多的预后终点。发现年龄较大与疾病严重程度及六个预后终点显著相关。慢性肾脏病是导致死亡的主要因素(RR:7.10,95%CI:3.14-16.02),慢性阻塞性肺疾病(COPD)是导致疾病严重程度的主要因素(RR:4.20,95%CI:2.82-6.25)、入住重症监护病房(ICU)(RR:5.61,95%CI:2.68-11.76)、复合终点(RR:8.52,95%CI:4.36-16.65)、有创通气(RR:6.53,95%CI:2.70-15.84)和疾病进展(RR:7.48,95%CI:1.60-35.05)的主要因素,脑血管疾病是导致急性呼吸窘迫综合征(ARDS)的主要因素(RR:3.15,95%CI:1.23-8.04),冠心病是导致心脏异常的主要因素(RR:5.37,95%CI:1.74-16.54)。我们的研究强调,男性、年龄较大和合并症与COVID-19的严重程度和预后之间存在关联,这有充分的流行病学证据。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/db18/7377860/b46bcfa9d3d1/aging-12-103579-g001.jpg

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