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耐心与气候变化减缓:全球证据。

Patience and climate change mitigation: Global evidence.

机构信息

Department of Political Science, University of Connecticut, Storrs, CT, USA.

Graduate School of Public and International Affairs and Center for Governance and Markets, University of Pittsburgh, Pittsburgh, PA, USA.

出版信息

Environ Res. 2020 Jul;186:109552. doi: 10.1016/j.envres.2020.109552. Epub 2020 Apr 21.

Abstract

Complex policy problems such as climate mitigation have an economic, political, and social dimension. We focus on one of the social dimensions of climate change mitigation: the link between society-wide patience (future orientation) and adoption of public policies to combat global greenhouse gas emissions. Theoretically, future-oriented societies are more likely to accept current costs in exchange for long-run benefits posed by climate change mitigation than impatient (present-oriented) ones, cooperate in efforts to combat climate change, and support future-oriented governments. We evaluate this claim using evidence from a cross-section of countries. Controlling for other theoretically relevant factors, we find that patient societies are more likely to adopt public policies to mitigate climate change.

摘要

复杂的政策问题,如气候缓解,具有经济、政治和社会层面。我们关注气候变化缓解的社会层面之一:全社会的耐心(未来导向)与采取公共政策来应对全球温室气体排放之间的联系。从理论上讲,与缺乏耐心的(现在导向)社会相比,具有未来导向的社会更有可能接受当前的成本,以换取气候变化缓解带来的长期利益,更愿意合作应对气候变化,并支持未来导向的政府。我们使用来自各国横截面的数据来评估这一说法。在控制其他理论上相关因素的情况下,我们发现,具有耐心的社会更有可能采取公共政策来缓解气候变化。

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