Oak Ridge Institute for Science and Education at the United States Environmental Protection Agency, National Health and Environmental Effects Research Laboratory, Environmental Public Health Division, Research Triangle Park, North Carolina.
Department of Epidemiology, Gillings School of Global Public Health, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, Chapel Hill, North Carolina.
J Am Soc Nephrol. 2020 Aug;31(8):1824-1835. doi: 10.1681/ASN.2019101066. Epub 2020 Jul 16.
Wildfires are increasingly a significant source of fine particulate matter (PM), which has been linked to adverse health effects and increased mortality. ESKD patients are potentially susceptible to this environmental stressor.
We conducted a retrospective time-series analysis of the association between daily exposure to wildfire PM and mortality in 253 counties near a major wildfire between 2008 and 2012. Using quasi-Poisson regression models, we estimated rate ratios (RRs) for all-cause mortality on the day of exposure and up to 30 days following exposure, adjusted for background PM, day of week, seasonality, and heat. We stratified the analysis by causes of death (cardiac, vascular, infectious, or other) and place of death (clinical or nonclinical setting) for differential PM exposure and outcome classification.
We found 48,454 deaths matched to the 253 counties. A 10-g/m increase in wildfire PM associated with a 4% increase in all-cause mortality on the same day (RR, 1.04; 95% confidence interval [95% CI], 1.01 to 1.07) and 7% increase cumulatively over 30 days following exposure (RR, 1.07; 95% CI, 1.01 to 1.12). Risk was elevated following exposure for deaths occurring in nonclinical settings (RR, 1.07; 95% CI, 1.02 to 1.12), suggesting modification of exposure by place of death. "Other" deaths (those not attributed to cardiac, vascular, or infectious causes) accounted for the largest portion of deaths and had a strong same-day effect (RR, 1.08; 95% CI, 1.03 to 1.12) and cumulative effect over the 30-day period. On days with a wildfire PM contribution >10 g/m, exposure accounted for 8.4% of mortality.
Wildfire smoke exposure was positively associated with all-cause mortality among patients receiving in-center hemodialysis.
野火日益成为细颗粒物(PM)的重要来源,而 PM 与不良健康影响和死亡率增加有关。ESKD 患者可能容易受到这种环境应激源的影响。
我们对 2008 年至 2012 年间,在一场主要野火附近的 253 个县,进行了每日暴露于野火 PM 与死亡率之间关联的回顾性时间序列分析。使用拟泊松回归模型,我们估计了暴露当天及暴露后 30 天内全因死亡率的比率比(RR),调整了背景 PM、星期几、季节性和热因素。我们根据死因(心脏、血管、感染或其他)和死亡地点(临床或非临床环境)进行了分层分析,以区分 PM 暴露和结果分类。
我们发现 253 个县中有 48454 人死亡。野火 PM 每增加 10g/m,全因死亡率当天增加 4%(RR,1.04;95%置信区间[95%CI],1.01 至 1.07),暴露后 30 天内累积增加 7%(RR,1.07;95%CI,1.01 至 1.12)。在非临床环境中发生的死亡暴露后风险升高(RR,1.07;95%CI,1.02 至 1.12),表明死亡地点改变了暴露风险。“其他”死亡(不属于心脏、血管或感染原因的死亡)占死亡人数的最大部分,具有很强的当天效应(RR,1.08;95%CI,1.03 至 1.12)和 30 天内的累积效应。在野火 PM 贡献>10g/m 的日子里,暴露导致了 8.4%的死亡率。
接受中心血液透析的患者暴露于野火烟雾与全因死亡率呈正相关。