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如果更广泛地爆发新冠疫情,美国是否会因为缺乏足够的通用急救病床而陷入困境?

Would the United States Have Had Too Few Beds for Universal Emergency Care in the Event of a More Widespread Covid-19 Epidemic?

机构信息

Healthcare Analysis & Forecasting, Wantage, Oxfordshire OX12 0NE, UK.

出版信息

Int J Environ Res Public Health. 2020 Jul 19;17(14):5210. doi: 10.3390/ijerph17145210.

Abstract

(1) Background: To evaluate the level of hospital bed numbers in U.S. states relative to other countries using a new method for evaluating bed numbers, and to determine if this is sufficient for universal health care during a major Covid-19 epidemic in all states (2) Methods: Hospital bed numbers in each state were compared using a new international comparison methodology. Covid-19 deaths per 100 hospital beds were used as a proxy for bed capacity pressures. (3) Results: Hospital bed numbers show large variation between U.S. states and half of the states have equivalent beds to those in developing countries. Relatively low population density in over half of US states appeared to have limited the spread of Covid-19 thus averting a potential major hospital capacity crisis. (4) Conclusions: Many U.S. states had too few beds to cope with a major Covid-19 epidemic, but this was averted by low population density in many states, which seemed to limit the spread of the virus.

摘要

(1)背景:使用新的床位数量评估方法,评估美国各州相对于其他国家的医院床位数量,并确定在所有州发生重大新冠疫情期间,这是否足以实现全民医疗保健。(2)方法:使用新的国际比较方法比较每个州的医院床位数量。每 100 张病床的新冠死亡人数被用作床位容量压力的替代指标。(3)结果:美国各州的医院床位数量存在很大差异,一半的州拥有与发展中国家相当的床位。超过一半的美国州相对较低的人口密度似乎限制了新冠的传播,从而避免了潜在的重大医院容量危机。(4)结论:许多美国州的床位太少,无法应对重大新冠疫情,但由于许多州的人口密度较低,这一情况得以避免,似乎限制了病毒的传播。

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