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考察对现在相对于未来的个体偏好的潜在影响对参与肺癌筛查的影响:一项对韩国国家癌症筛查调查的横断面分析。

Examining the effect of underlying individual preferences for present over future on lung cancer screening participation: a cross-sectional analysis of a Korean National Cancer Screening Survey.

机构信息

National Cancer Control Institute, National Cancer Center, Goyang, Korea (the Republic of).

National Cancer Control Institute, National Cancer Center, Goyang, Korea (the Republic of)

出版信息

BMJ Open. 2020 Jul 23;10(7):e035495. doi: 10.1136/bmjopen-2019-035495.

Abstract

OBJECTIVES

This study aimed to examine the effect of underlying individual preferences for the present over that for the future on lung cancer screening participation.

SETTING

We analysed the data from the Korean National Cancer Screening Survey in 2018.

PARTICIPANTS

4500 adults aged 20-74 years old participated in the study.

DESIGN

In this cross-sectional survey, multivariate logistic regression analysis was carried out to examine the association between subjects' intention to participate in lung cancer screening and individual preferences. The underlying individual preferences were measured on the basis of the self-reported general willingness to spend money now in order to save money in the future and general preferences with regard to financial planning.

PRIMARY OUTCOME MEASURE

Intention to participate in lung cancer screening.

RESULTS

Individuals eligible for lung cancer screening who place less value on their future were around four times less likely to report an intention to participate in lung cancer screening than were those who valued their future (OR 3.86, 95% CI 1.89 to 7.90). A present-biassed individual (one with a tendency for immediate gratification) was also about four times less likely to report an intention to participate in screening than an individual with no present bias (OR 0.26, 95% CI 0.12 to 0.57).

CONCLUSIONS

Underlying individual preferences regarding the present and future significantly affect individuals' intention to participate in lung cancer screening. Hence, provision of incentives may be necessary to encourage the targeted heavy smokers who may have a strong preferences for the present over future.

摘要

目的

本研究旨在探讨个体对现在与未来的偏好对参与肺癌筛查的影响。

设置

我们分析了 2018 年韩国国家癌症筛查调查的数据。

参与者

4500 名 20-74 岁的成年人参与了研究。

设计

在这项横断面调查中,我们进行了多变量逻辑回归分析,以检验受试者参与肺癌筛查的意愿与个体偏好之间的关系。个体偏好是基于自我报告的现在花钱意愿和对财务规划的一般偏好来衡量的。

主要结局测量

参与肺癌筛查的意愿。

结果

有资格进行肺癌筛查的个体,如果对未来的重视程度较低,那么报告参与肺癌筛查意愿的可能性比重视未来的个体低约四倍(OR 3.86,95%CI 1.89 至 7.90)。有即时满足倾向(即有现在偏好的个体)报告参与筛查的意愿也比没有现在偏好的个体低约四倍(OR 0.26,95%CI 0.12 至 0.57)。

结论

个体对现在和未来的潜在偏好显著影响个体参与肺癌筛查的意愿。因此,可能需要提供激励措施,以鼓励那些可能强烈偏好现在而非未来的目标性重度吸烟者参与。

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本文引用的文献

1
Present bias and health.当前偏差与健康。
J Risk Uncertain. 2018 Oct;57(2):177-198. doi: 10.1007/s11166-018-9289-z. Epub 2018 Oct 25.
4
European position statement on lung cancer screening.欧洲肺癌筛查立场声明。
Lancet Oncol. 2017 Dec;18(12):e754-e766. doi: 10.1016/S1470-2045(17)30861-6.
8
Lung cancer screening: latest developments and unanswered questions.肺癌筛查:最新进展与未解问题。
Lancet Respir Med. 2016 Sep;4(9):749-761. doi: 10.1016/S2213-2600(16)30200-4.
9
Implementation planning for lung cancer screening: five major challenges.肺癌筛查的实施规划:五大挑战
Lancet Respir Med. 2016 Sep;4(9):685-687. doi: 10.1016/S2213-2600(16)30233-8.

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