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成人发热型新冠病毒病患者的临床特征及严重事件发生的预测因素

Clinical Characteristics of Adult Fevered COVID-19 Patients and Predictors for Developing Severe Events.

作者信息

Wang Guyi, Zhang Quan, Wu Chenfang, Wu Fang, Yu Bo, Lv Jianlei, Zhang Siye, Wu Guobao, Zhong Yanjun

机构信息

Critical Care Medicine, The Second Xiangya Hospital, Central South University, Changsha, China.

Critical Care Medicine, The First Hospital of Changsha, Changsha, China.

出版信息

Front Med (Lausanne). 2020 Jul 3;7:324. doi: 10.3389/fmed.2020.00324. eCollection 2020.

Abstract

Clinical findings indicated that a fraction of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) patients did not show fever. However, the difference between the clinical characteristics of fevered and non-fevered patients is still unclear. The aim of the present study was to describe the clinical characteristics of these patients and analyze the predictors for severe events of adult fevered COVID-19 patients. Clinical and laboratory data of fevered and non-fevered COVID-19 patients in Changsha, China, were collected and analyzed. Logistic regression analysis and Receiver Operating Characteristic Curve (ROC Curve) analysis were adopted to analyze risk factors and evaluate the effectiveness of the predictors for severe events in adult fevered COVID-19 patients. Of the 230 adult COVD-19 patients in this study, 175 patients (76.1%) had fever and 55 patients (23.9%) did not have fever. Compared with non-fevered patients, the fevered patients showed a lower lymphocyte proportion ( = 0.000) and lymphocyte count ( = 0.000) as well as higher levels of C-reactive protein (CRP) ( = 0.000) and erythrocyte sedimentation rate ( = 0.000). The proportion of severe cases was significantly elevated in adult fevered patients ( = 0.000). Compared to non-severe fevered patients, severe fevered patients showed a lower lymphocyte count ( = 0.000), a lower lymphocyte proportion ( = 0.000), and higher levels of CRP ( = 0.000). As determined by the multivariate analysis, CRP (OR 1.026, = 0.018) and lymphocyte proportion (OR 0.924, = 0.009) were significantly associated with the risk of developing severe events in fevered adult COVID-19 patients. Furthermore, ROC Curve analysis revealed that the area under the curve (AUC) for CRP combined with lymphocyte proportion to diagnose severe events in fevered adult COVID-19 patients was 0.874 (95% CI 0.820-0.927). Adult fevered COVID-19 patients were more likely to progress into severe cases, while CRP and lymphocyte proportion were effective predictors for developing severe events in these patients.

摘要

临床研究结果表明,一部分2019冠状病毒病(COVID-19)患者没有发热症状。然而,发热患者与未发热患者的临床特征差异仍不明确。本研究的目的是描述这些患者的临床特征,并分析成年发热COVID-19患者发生严重事件的预测因素。收集并分析了中国长沙发热和未发热COVID-19患者的临床和实验室数据。采用逻辑回归分析和受试者工作特征曲线(ROC曲线)分析来分析危险因素,并评估成年发热COVID-19患者发生严重事件预测指标的有效性。本研究中的230例成年COVID-19患者中,175例(76.1%)有发热症状,55例(23.9%)没有发热症状。与未发热患者相比,发热患者的淋巴细胞比例(P = 0.000)和淋巴细胞计数(P = 0.000)较低,而C反应蛋白(CRP)水平(P = 0.000)和红细胞沉降率(P = 0.000)较高。成年发热患者的重症病例比例显著升高(P = 0.000)。与非重症发热患者相比,重症发热患者的淋巴细胞计数(P = 0.000)、淋巴细胞比例(P = 0.000)较低,而CRP水平较高(P = 0.000)。多因素分析结果显示,CRP(OR 1.026,P = 0.018)和淋巴细胞比例(OR 0.924,P = 0.009)与成年发热COVID-19患者发生严重事件的风险显著相关。此外,ROC曲线分析显示,CRP联合淋巴细胞比例诊断成年发热COVID-19患者严重事件的曲线下面积(AUC)为0.874(95%CI 0.820 - 0.927)。成年发热COVID-19患者更容易进展为重症病例,而CRP和淋巴细胞比例是这些患者发生严重事件的有效预测指标。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/a44a/7347790/1021621156f8/fmed-07-00324-g0001.jpg

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