Yadav Milind, Perumal Murukessan, Srinivas M
Rajasthan Technical University, Kota, India.
National Institute of Technology, Warangal, Telangana, India.
Chaos Solitons Fractals. 2020 Oct;139:110050. doi: 10.1016/j.chaos.2020.110050. Epub 2020 Jun 30.
In this paper, we are working on a pandemic of novel coronavirus (COVID-19). COVID-19 is an infectious disease, it creates severe damage in the lungs. COVID-19 causes illness in humans and has killed many people in the entire world. However, this virus is reported as a pandemic by the World Health Organization (WHO) and all countries are trying to control and lockdown all places. The main objective of this work is to solve the five different tasks such as I) Predicting the spread of coronavirus across regions. II) Analyzing the growth rates and the types of mitigation across countries. III) Predicting how the epidemic will end. IV) Analyzing the transmission rate of the virus. V) Correlating the coronavirus and weather conditions. The advantage of doing these tasks to minimize the virus spread by various mitigation, how well the mitigations are working, how many cases have been prevented by this mitigations, an idea about the number of patients that will recover from the infection with old medication, understand how much time will it take to for this pandemic to end, we will be able to understand and analyze how fast or slow the virus is spreading among regions and the infected patient to reduce the spread based clear understanding of the correlation between the spread and weather conditions. In this paper, we propose a novel Support Vector Regression method to analysis five different tasks related to novel coronavirus. In this work, instead of simple regression line we use the supported vectors also to get better classification accuracy. Our approach is evaluated and compared with other well-known regression models on standard available datasets. The promising results demonstrate its superiority in both efficiency and accuracy.
在本文中,我们致力于研究新型冠状病毒(COVID - 19)大流行。COVID - 19是一种传染病,会对肺部造成严重损害。它在人类中引发疾病,并已在全球导致许多人死亡。然而,该病毒被世界卫生组织(WHO)列为大流行病,所有国家都在努力控制并封锁所有场所。这项工作的主要目标是解决五个不同的任务,即:I)预测冠状病毒在各地区的传播。II)分析各国的增长率及缓解类型。III)预测疫情将如何结束。IV)分析病毒的传播速率。V)关联冠状病毒与天气状况。执行这些任务的好处在于,通过各种缓解措施将病毒传播降至最低,了解缓解措施的效果如何,这些措施预防了多少病例,了解使用旧药物感染后有多少患者会康复,知道这场大流行需要多长时间结束,我们将能够理解和分析病毒在各地区及感染患者中传播的快慢,从而基于对传播与天气状况之间关联的清晰理解来减少传播。在本文中,我们提出一种新颖的支持向量回归方法来分析与新型冠状病毒相关的五个不同任务。在这项工作中,我们不仅使用简单的回归线,还使用支持向量以获得更好的分类精度。我们的方法在标准可用数据集上进行了评估,并与其他知名回归模型进行了比较。有前景的结果证明了其在效率和准确性方面的优越性。