Wójcik Dariusz, Ioannou Stefanos
School of Geography and the Environment University of Oxford South Parks Road OX1 3QY Oxford UK.
Tijdschr Econ Soc Geogr. 2020 Jul;111(3):387-400. doi: 10.1111/tesg.12434. Epub 2020 Jun 12.
This paper offers an informed commentary on the actual and potential impacts of the pandemic on financial markets, sector and centres, grounded in literature on financial centres, the state-finance nexus, and trends affecting the landscape of finance since the global financial crisis. We expect a slowdown in new financial regulation, continued firm-level consolidation, and a continued rise of business services related to finance. The application of new financial technologies is likely to accelerate, affecting retail banking in particular, but will not necessarily be led by FinTech firms. Local and regional financial centres are likely to face larger challenges than leading international centres. As the panic and partial recovery in financial markets in March and April 2020 highlighted the significance of the international monetary hierarchy, with the US$ in the lead, a radical shift of financial power to Asia seems unlikely.
本文基于有关金融中心、国家与金融关系以及全球金融危机以来影响金融格局趋势的文献，对疫情对金融市场、行业和中心的实际及潜在影响提供了有见地的评论。我们预计新金融监管将放缓，企业层面的整合将持续，与金融相关的商业服务将持续增长。新金融技术的应用可能会加速，尤其会影响零售银行业，但不一定由金融科技公司引领。地方和区域金融中心可能比主要国际中心面临更大挑战。由于2020年3月和4月金融市场的恐慌及部分复苏凸显了以美元为首的国际货币等级制度的重要性，金融权力向亚洲的根本性转移似乎不太可能。
