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中国煤矿瓦斯的潜在用途及其对空气质量、健康和气候的相关益处。

Potential Uses of Coal Methane in China and Associated Benefits for Air Quality, Health, and Climate.

机构信息

Department of Environmental Health and Engineering, Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore 21218, Maryland, United States.

School of Advanced International Studies, Johns Hopkins University, Washington 21218-2625, District of Columbia, United States.

出版信息

Environ Sci Technol. 2020 Oct 6;54(19):12447-12455. doi: 10.1021/acs.est.0c01207. Epub 2020 Sep 10.

Abstract

China is the world's largest producer and consumer of coal, but the country has recently set ambitious targets for cleaner energy sources. These include goals to capture and utilize methane from coal seams as a source of unconventional natural gas. We investigate the impacts of using coal methane to displace coal power plants and residential coal combustion across northern China. We compare the greenhouse gas emissions, air quality, and public health impacts of several scenarios for coal methane utilization. We find that China's existing goals would decrease the country's total carbon emissions by ∼2.3% (284 million tons COeq). Furthermore, these reductions are dominated by mitigated methane emissions and therefore confer a much larger climate benefit than would be expected from other forms of natural gas. Our results also indicate that the air quality and health impacts strongly depend on how the methane is utilized. Using the methane to displace coal-fired electricity would reduce annual mean ambient PM concentrations by up to >2.5 μg/m and prevent up to 9290 premature mortalities annually (95% confidence interval: 7862-9992). By contrast, utilizing coal methane in home heating yields smaller changes to ambient air quality (∼0.6 μg/m), but improvements to indoor air quality could produce comparable reductions in premature mortality.

摘要

中国是世界上最大的煤炭生产国和消费国,但该国最近设定了雄心勃勃的清洁能源目标。这些目标包括从煤层中捕获和利用甲烷作为非常规天然气的来源。我们研究了在中国北方利用煤甲烷取代煤电厂和居民燃煤的影响。我们比较了几种煤甲烷利用情景的温室气体排放、空气质量和公共卫生影响。我们发现,中国现有的目标将使该国的碳排放总量减少约 2.3%(2.84 亿吨 COeq)。此外,这些减排主要是由于缓解了甲烷排放,因此与其他形式的天然气相比,带来了更大的气候效益。我们的研究结果还表明,空气质量和健康影响强烈取决于甲烷的利用方式。利用甲烷来替代燃煤发电将使年平均环境 PM 浓度降低多达>2.5μg/m,并每年预防多达 9290 例过早死亡(95%置信区间:7862-9992)。相比之下,在家用取暖中利用煤甲烷对环境空气质量的变化较小(约 0.6μg/m),但改善室内空气质量可能会产生类似的过早死亡减少。

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