Cancer Institute, the Fourth Hospital of Hebei Medical University/the Tumor Hospital of Hebei Province, Shijiazhuang, Hebei, 050000, P. R. China.
Zhejiang Cancer Center, Hangzhou, Zhejiang, 310000, P. R. China.
Cancer Commun (Lond). 2020 Oct;40(10):531-544. doi: 10.1002/cac2.12087. Epub 2020 Aug 26.
This study aimed to investigate the potential determining epidemiological and clinical risk factors affecting the survival of esophageal cancer (EC) patients across multiple hospitals in China.
This was a multicenter study comprising of newly diagnosed EC cases from Beijing, Hebei, Henan, Hubei, Zhejiang, and Guangdong Province of China. Their baseline characteristics and treatment methods data were collected from their medical records. The EpiData software was used for data quality control. The Kaplan-Meier method was used to estimate their overall survival (OS), and the Cox's proportional hazard regression model was used to estimate hazard ratios (HR) and 95% confidence interval (CI).
The 3- and 5-year OS rates of the 5283 investigated EC patients were 49.98% and 39.07%, respectively. Their median survival was 36.00 months. The median survival time of females was longer than that of males (females vs. males: 45.00 vs. 33.00, P < 0.001). The 5-year OS rate of patients who never-smoked was higher than that of smokers (never-smokers vs smokers: 40.73% vs. 37.84%, P = 0.001). There was no significant difference in the 5-year OS rate between drinkers and never-drinkers (drinkers vs never-drinkers: 34.22% vs. 29.65%, P = 0.330). In multivariate analysis, pathological stage (stage II: HR = 1.80, 95% CI = 1.40-2.31; stage III: HR = 2.62, 95% CI = 2.06-3.34; stage IV: HR = 3.90, 95% CI = 2.98-5.09), poor differentiation/undifferentiated (HR = 1.34, 95% CI = 1.11-1.63), not married status (HR = 2.45, 95% CI = 1.49-4.04), production and service personnel (HR = 1.36, 95% CI = 1.01-1.83) and farming/fishing (HR = 1.40, 95% CI = 1.12-1.76) were independent prognostic risk factors for poor EC survival. Tumors in the thoracic or abdominal part of the esophagus, female and family history of any cancer were independent factors predictive of a good EC OS.
Gender, marital status, occupation, family history of any cancer, tumor topographical site, differentiation status, and pathological stage were associated with the survival rate of EC. This study reveals important clinical characteristics of esophageal cancer patients in China and provides helpful information for their clinical management and surveillance.
本研究旨在探讨影响中国多家医院食管癌(EC)患者生存的潜在确定的流行病学和临床危险因素。
这是一项多中心研究,纳入了来自中国北京、河北、河南、湖北、浙江和广东省的新诊断为 EC 的病例。从他们的病历中收集他们的基线特征和治疗方法数据。使用 EpiData 软件进行数据质量控制。Kaplan-Meier 法用于估计总生存率(OS),Cox 比例风险回归模型用于估计风险比(HR)和 95%置信区间(CI)。
调查的 5283 例 EC 患者的 3 年和 5 年 OS 率分别为 49.98%和 39.07%,中位生存时间为 36.00 个月。女性的中位生存时间长于男性(女性 vs. 男性:45.00 vs. 33.00,P < 0.001)。从不吸烟患者的 5 年 OS 率高于吸烟者(从不吸烟者 vs 吸烟者:40.73% vs. 37.84%,P = 0.001)。饮酒者和不饮酒者的 5 年 OS 率无显著差异(饮酒者 vs 不饮酒者:34.22% vs. 29.65%,P = 0.330)。多变量分析显示,病理分期(II 期:HR = 1.80,95%CI = 1.40-2.31;III 期:HR = 2.62,95%CI = 2.06-3.34;IV 期:HR = 3.90,95%CI = 2.98-5.09)、低分化/未分化(HR = 1.34,95%CI = 1.11-1.63)、未婚状态(HR = 2.45,95%CI = 1.49-4.04)、生产和服务人员(HR = 1.36,95%CI = 1.01-1.83)和农业/渔业(HR = 1.40,95%CI = 1.12-1.76)是 EC 生存的独立预后危险因素。食管胸段或腹段肿瘤、女性和任何癌症家族史是 EC 总生存的独立预测因素。
性别、婚姻状况、职业、任何癌症家族史、肿瘤部位、分化状态和病理分期与 EC 患者的生存率相关。本研究揭示了中国食管癌患者的重要临床特征,为其临床管理和监测提供了有价值的信息。